Mike Renner Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded | MissedTakes

Mike Renner

Mike Renner covers the NFL draft with a scouting eye, producing positional rankings and prospect evaluations across CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated, and several podcasts including Pushing the Pile and Locked On Bills. His work spans the full roster—offensive tackles, interior linemen, tight ends, linebackers, safeties—with an appetite for the kind of detailed breakdowns that make draft season feel like year-round business.

Writes at CBS Sports

Every take from Mike Renner, including the ones still waiting →

Is Mike Renner accurate? Across 126 graded calls in 14 articles, Mike Renner scores 51.53% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 17.6, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

51.53%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

17.6

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

126

Graded calls

across 14 articles. 277 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

96.33% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Mock Draft Picks98 graded73.56 accuracy
Game Outcome Picks9 graded20.83 accuracy
Position Order Calls8 graded49.36 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Mike Renner keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Yhonzae Pierre-100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
C.J. Carr-90
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 126

5 of 14 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 4.

Renner ranks the top 10 offensive tackle prospects in the upcoming draft class and assigns each an early draft grade, with Trevor Goosby a top-10 pick, Jordan Seaton a first-rounder, and Cayden Green likely the first guard drafted; he also expects Seaton to be picked higher than Olu Fashanu's 11th-overall slot.Aug 17, 2026
- Jordan Seaton to be drafted ahead of Olu Fashanu
  “With a good season, he'll likely be drafted higher than Fashanu's 11th-overall selection.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-50 skill
  How this was scored
  claim:
  Jordan Seaton drafted ahead of Olumuyiwa Fashanu
  draft:
  2024
  skill:
  -50
  what happened:
  Jordan Seaton went undrafted, Olumuyiwa Fashanu went 11
  player:
  Jordan Seaton
  season:
  2026
  correct:
  no

Mike Renner made the even-numbered picks in the show's first-round mock, from Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2 through Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, and also said he'd bet Omar Cooper Jr. is off the board before the Eagles pick at 23.16 graded calls · Apr 20, 2026

Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 20
“Dallas Cowboys at 20... So I'm going Maxie short here, the Arizona State right tackle.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Max Iheanachor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.81
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 12
“Pick 12. Dallas cowboys... It's Ruben Bayne junior. The Miami defensive end falls all the way down here to 12”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“Hi, Browns at six... Because Carnell Tate is just he doesn't drop passes... you for sure found one here at number six overall.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Number two, I'm not buying the David Bailey smoke... We're going Arvell Reese, the Ohio State linebacker slash edge.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 24
“On to '24... I'm gonna go Ty Simpson, though, the Alabama quarterback.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.81
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16
“16, New York Jets... You can't wait and get a guy like Jermaine McCoy, the Tennessee quarterback. So that's where I'm going here.”
Miss · 3Scored 2.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Jermod McCoy
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
2.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
101
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
2.52
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32
“Number 32, last pick. Your Seattle Seahawks... Let's go get Chris Johnson, the San Diego State cornerback”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 88.57 against a shuffle’s 50+38.57 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
38.57
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
“and so Kenyan Sadiq comes off the board here at fourteen.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.81
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 30
“Number 30, Miami Dolphins... Why have them going Emmanuel McNeil Warren, the Toledo safety here”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
29.73
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
29.73
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
“Alright. The number eight overall pick, New Orleans Saints on the clock. I've kept not straying too far for this team and going Monsieur D'Alene”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Peter Woods to be picked at number 28
“Houston Texans, 28. Give me Peter Woods, the Clemson DT.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 88.57 against a shuffle’s 50+38.57 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
38.57
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
88.57
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26
“Bills are on the clock here at 26... I have going Ohio State defensive tackle, Caden McDonald”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Cade McDonald
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10
“Alright. Number 10, New York Giants newly acquired pick from the Cincinnati Bengals... I'm not saying, but I'm saying this is gonna be Jordan Tyson.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22
“if Vega Yolani's on the board for the chargers with their need at guard, yeah, that one is an obvious pick... this one makes too much sense for the charges to pass on in 22.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“Number four, it's Jeremiah Love, the Tennessee Titans.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.81
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18
“18, Minnesota Vikings... but it's still in Theaman... So, I have him going there at 18.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
36.81
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
86.81

In a two-man 2026 first-round mock draft, Renner made the odd-numbered picks: Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals at 3, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, Ruben Bain Jr. to the Commanders at 7, Spencer Fano to the Chiefs at 9, Mansoor Delaine to the Dolphins at 11, Kayshon Concepcion to the Rams at 13, Francis Mauigoa to the Bucs at 15, Kadyn Proctor to the Lions at 17, Caleb Lomu to the Panthers at 19, Ty Simpson to the Steelers at 21, Omar Cooper Jr. to the Eagles at 23, Dylan Thieneman to the Bears at 25, Kenyon Sadiq to the 49ers at 27, Chris Johnson to the Chiefs at 29, and Max Iheanachor to the Patriots at 31.16 graded calls · Apr 10, 2026

Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7
“pick seven here of our twenty twenty six mock draft commanders on the board, and I'm gonna go Reuben Bain junior, the Miami defensive end”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
“Number five, New York Giants. Give me Sonny Styles here, the Ohio State linebacker.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.69 against a shuffle’s 50+37.69 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.69
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.69
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 29
“Number 29, Kansas City Chiefs... they get the Trent McDuffie replacement and Chris Johnson, the San Diego State corner.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.68 against a shuffle’s 50+37.68 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.68
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3
“So I'm gonna go Jeremiah Love, the Notre Dame running back.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9
“they stick at nine. They make this pick. It's an offensive tackle... I'm going Spencer Fauna, the Utah right tackle.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11
“Number 11, Mansoor Delaine, the LSU cornerback to the Miami Dolphins.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 13
“the guy I've come around to for them is Casey Concepcion”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
K.C. Concepcion
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 31
“Patriots at 31 to me, dream scenario for them. Truly, Maxey Hahn and Shore, the Arizona State tackle”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Max Iheanachor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17
“Number 17, Detroit Lions. I think this is Caden Proctor's floor.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 19
“the Carolina Panthers are on the clock. I'm gonna go Caleb Lomu, the Utah tackle for them.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23
“Philadelphia Eagles at 23... But I'm going Omar Cooper junior here”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27
“number 27, San Francisco forty niners. I'm going Kenyan Saddique, Oregon tight end.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 21
“'21. Pittsburgh Steelers, here's where the drought ends. Ty Simpson coming off the board.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 25
“And I'm going Dylan Thieneman, the Oregon safety at 25 to the Chicago Bears.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“It is the Las Vegas Raiders, and it's going to be Fernando Mendoza, the Indiana quarterback.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.44 against a shuffle’s 50+35.44 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.44
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.44
A.J. Brown to move
“This pick is made under the guys that they will be trading AJ Brown at some point during the draft.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
A.J. Brown
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
PHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → NE (from PHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?