Brockman picked the AFC East order as Bills first, Patriots second, Jets third, Dolphins fourth, said the Bills will cruise to the division and play on championship weekend, and floated nine wins as realistic for New England.

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsSep 3, 2025

  Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

  “I expect them to kinda breeze through this division and and play on the championship weekend.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  BUF

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  true

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Power RankingsSep 3, 2025

  “I got Miami fourth... Vibes are a little higher in New York. So I'm just gonna put them third, Dolphins fourth, Patriots second... this is the Bills division”

  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 40+80 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  80

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  80

  baseline:

  40

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  4

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2025

  New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

  “Patriots second. Love the vibes there. Nine wins are real possibility”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  NE

  naive:

  6.25

  skill:

  0

  what happened:

  14

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  predicted:

  9

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 3, 2025

  Buffalo Bills to win the division

  “this is the Bills division until someone takes it from their hands... I expect them to kinda breeze through this division”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?