Chris Brockman — Prediction Record | MissedTakes

Chris Brockman

Chris Brockman is part of the team on The Rich Eisen Show, where he contributes to NFL discussions ranging from power rankings to draft position predictions. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff berths, and player awards, with particular attention to teams like the New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, and Buffalo Bills.

Writes at Overreaction Monday (podcast)

Every take from Chris Brockman, including the ones still waiting →

60.81%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

18.3

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

183

Graded calls

across 71 articles. 226 more not yet settled.

95.7% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Playoff Picks41 graded68.5 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks29 graded71.91 accuracy
Award Picks25 graded15.91 accuracy
Season Win Totals19 graded30.15 accuracy

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 183

Brockman argues the NFL should bar rookie QBs from playing, predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall while Ty Simpson opens the season as a starter, expects Kirk Cousins to start and succeed in Las Vegas, thinks it would be stunning if the Eagles missed the playoffs, and says Kansas City takes an offensive weapon at No. 9.Apr 6, 2026
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “We know Fernando Mendoza's going number one, probably not gonna start in week one.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:
  1

Brockman offered a series of overreaction-Monday takes: four Ohio State players going top-10, Fernando Mendoza outproducing Tom Brady's 2001 rookie stats, Jeremiah Love outperforming Ashton Jeanty's rookie year, two tight ends going in the top 20, Ty Simpson as QB2 and a week-one starter, Jimmy Garoppolo lifting the Cardinals over .500, and Mike Evans advancing further in the playoffs than Tampa Bay.9 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
“We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
skill:
66.92
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
33.08
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvel Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Miss · 23Scored 22.93a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Eli Stowers
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
22.93
baseline:
50
actual pick:
54
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
22.93
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman's overreaction slate: Breece Hall leaves the Jets and plays in the playoffs next season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the best receiver in the league, three quarterbacks (Mendoza first overall, plus Ty Simpson and Carson Beck) go in the first round, and the Patriots crater to a 7-10 season.4 graded calls · Feb 23, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be. That's how bad it's gonna be next year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
0
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot. It is those three quarterbacks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot. It is those three quarterbacks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carson Beck
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with ARI
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:

Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.4 graded calls · Feb 23, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be... next year with this with new, you know, the schedule.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
0
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carson Beck
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with ARI
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“We're gonna come out of the combine thinking not one, not two. Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck?... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.5 graded calls · Nov 17, 2025

Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“The NFC North is only getting two playoff teams, and one of them is the bears.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
144
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to win
“Their next game... is a home for New Orleans. And then their home for Atlanta... Feels like those are two wins coming up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
26-21
skill:
144
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
NO
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to win
“And then their home for Atlanta, which has fallen completely apart. So Feels like those are two wins coming up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
10-20
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.44
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
8
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman doubled down that the Ravens will win the AFC North, named Jonathan Taylor the NFL's MVP, locked in his seven NFC playoff teams with the Eagles as the NFC East's lone qualifier, and predicted Justin Fields will be the Jets' starting quarterback in 2026.9 graded calls · Oct 27, 2025

Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
161
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
“Justin Fields is gonna be the Jets' starting quarterback in 2026.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+13.42 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYJ
skill:
13.42
player:
Justin Fields
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.61
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“The NFC playoffs are locked. These are the seven teams we're gonna see in January... Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“These are the seven we're getting. Packers, Eagles, Bucs, Seahawks, Lions, Rams, 40 niners. Lock it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
161
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Jonathan Taylor to win MVP
“Jonathan Taylor is the MVP of the NFL through eight weeks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this grade is wrong?

Chris Brockman said Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in MVP voting, named Kyle Shanahan the coach of the year front-runner, and predicted both the Giants and Jets will pick in the top five of next year's draft.4 graded calls · Oct 6, 2025

Baker Mayfield to win MVP
“I think he's actually probably the MVP right now through five weeks, but Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Baker Mayfield
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
“Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Kyle Shanahan
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
“Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 3 the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
“Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.7+14.77 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 7 the year before
skill:
14.77
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.7
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
14
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; he also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.4 graded calls · Sep 22, 2025

Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl
“Look, man. I have them to win the Super Bowl, but it seems like we crown the Packers a little too early.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to pick “picking in the top 10 this year” (picks 1–10)
“Their season is absolutely cooked, and they're gonna be picking in the top 10 this year.”
Miss · 26Scored 26.11a naive guess scored 73.84-90.22 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 17 the year before
skill:
-90.22
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
26.11
baseline:
73.84
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
picking in the top 10 this year (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Justin Herbert to win MVP
“Justin Herbert. He's the MVP through the first three weeks. Hands down.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Justin Herbert
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Daniel Jones to win MVP finalist
“Danny Diamonds, Indiana Jones. He's gonna be an MVP finalist.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman argued the Colts are a playoff team and Jonathan Taylor is the NFL's best running back, said Russell Wilson would hold the Giants' starting job all season, that Mac Jones will be a starting quarterback somewhere in 2026, and that Jordan Love will finish no lower than second in MVP voting.5 graded calls · Sep 15, 2025

Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL. Colts are a playoff team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skill
How this was scored
team:
IND
skill:
-194
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“Mac Jones is an ex Sam Darnold. He's gonna be a starting quarterback in 2026.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.17 skill
How this was scored
club:
SF
skill:
-16.17
player:
Mac Jones
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.94
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordan Love to win MVP
“I wanna talk about their quarterback, Jordan Love. He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jordan Love
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Russell Wilson. He's gonna be the giant starting quarterback the entire season.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
0
player:
Russell Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.94
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.17 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.17
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
ranked by:
rushing yards
difficulty:
1.94
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
4
actual finish:
3
weeks left when called:
17
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman opened the season-preview show with a slate of bold calls: the Cowboys collapse into a top-five draft pick after the Micah Parsons trade, the Giants are this year's out-of-nowhere team, the 49ers reach championship weekend with Brock Purdy as an MVP finalist, and the Patriots make the playoffs as part of four 2024-class quarterbacks reaching the postseason.4 graded calls · Sep 1, 2025

Brock Purdy to win MVP finalist
“The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Brock Purdy
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to pick “top five pick” (picks 1–5)
“The Cowboys are gonna finish last in the NFC East and have a top five pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11a naive guess scored 73.84+6.54 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 12 the year before
skill:
6.54
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
73.84
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five pick (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“What world do the Patriots make the playoffs in? This world? ... Yeah. The two that they make it in. Let's go. ... 10 wins should get in in the FC.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning.5 graded calls · Aug 26, 2025

Arch Manning to be picked at number 1
“they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arch Manning
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1
“In the perfect dream scenario, they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall”
Close · 74Scored 73.84a naive guess scored 95.76-43.84 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 9 the year before
skill:
-43.84
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
95.76
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“But I do think they both make the playoffs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
“But I do think they both make the playoffs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
“At the bottom, I think it's an obvious Saints being fourth... I think Carolina is an is an up and coming team, but I still think they're third. I still think they're behind Atlanta and Tampa... I'm gonna go with Atlanta first, Tampa.”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman said Russell Wilson is not a Hall of Famer, then delivered a top five list of teams that absolutely cannot win the Super Bowl (Giants, Titans, Browns, Colts, Saints), predicted the Saints get the No. 1 pick next year, the Browns pick in the top five, Joe Flacco won't be a starter in October, and Myles Garrett could win Defensive Player of the Year again.5 graded calls · Aug 5, 2025

New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1
“I would bet a serious amount of money that they're gonna have the number one pick in the draft next year”
Close · 74Scored 73.84a naive guess scored 95.76-43.84 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 9 the year before
skill:
-43.84
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
95.76
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Russell Wilson to be 2nd on the depth chart
“They got a quarterback in Russell Wilson, who is on the last legs of his career. Probably only gonna play half the year, it may be less than before a rookie goes in there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Russell Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
Cleveland Browns to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)
“The Browns absolutely cannot win. They play in an impossible division. I'm sorry. They're gonna be picking in the top five.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 100-31.82 skill
How this was scored
team:
CLE
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 5 the year before
skill:
-31.82
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
100
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
picking in the top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
“Miles Garrett is awesome, and he's going to the hall of fame, and he might win defensive player of the year again this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
skill:
200
player:
Myles Garrett
season:
2025
winner:
Myles Garrett
correct:
true
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Joe Flacco to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Flacco, if if he makes it out of September alive, I'll be shocked, man. I will be shocked if he's a starter in October.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
0
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18

Brockman argued the Chiefs dynasty is finished, predicted the Giants and Jets would win about five games apiece while Dallas could reach 12 wins, tabbed Jacksonville as an AFC South winner, said Washington falls back to 9-8, picked Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, called the 49ers a slept-on championship-weekend team, projected big numbers for Bo Nix and a Denver division title, forecast a 2,000-yard receiver, hyped the Penix-London duo, and said Baltimore is the AFC North's only playoff team.12 graded calls · Jun 23, 2025

Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“One playoff team That's wild. On the AFC North Who is it? It's the Baltimore Ravens.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Bo Nix to record 35 passing tds
“Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 70.58-55.44 skill
How this was scored
naive:
21.32
skill:
-55.44
what happened:
25
player:
Bo Nix
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
70.58
predicted:
35
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
29
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins
“I think they're gonna come back down to earth a little bit, maybe go nine and eight, ultimately miss the playoffs.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
40
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“San Francisco will be playing on championship weekend this year. Wow. Forty niners final four.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins
“So they they went six and eleven last year. They could put twelve and five pretty easily.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 5+190 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
7.25
skill:
190
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
5
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
“Dallas could be a twelve and five team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
naive:
7.75
skill:
-170
what happened:
7
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
85
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
“Mike Vrabel's gonna win coach of the year. The Pats are back, people.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Mike Vrabel
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
200
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
true
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Rome Odunze to be 1st on the depth chart
“Romadunze really has a chance to be the number one wide receiver in Chicago.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
-33.33
player:
Rome Odunze
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Bo Nix to win MVP finalist
“Bo Nicks is gonna be an MVP finalist this year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Bo Nix
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Bo Nix to record 4,500 passing yards
“Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.”
Close · 75Scored 74.71a naive guess scored 38.05+73.32 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2713.37
skill:
73.32
what happened:
3931
player:
Bo Nix
season:
2025
accuracy:
74.71
baseline:
38.05
predicted:
4500
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
3775
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1651.74
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants to finish with 5 wins
“But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 65+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
30
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
65
predicted:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to finish with 5 wins
“But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 25+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
naive:
6.75
skill:
70
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
25
predicted:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman delivered his "way too early powerless rankings," ranking the bottom 10 NFL teams for 2025 from 23 through 32, with the Giants as the worst team in the league.5 graded calls · Jun 4, 2025

Las Vegas Raiders to pick “picking in the top 10 this year” (picks 1–10)
“They're in a really tough division, and they're clearly fourth in that division. So they could be picking in the top 10 this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 6 the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
picking in the top 10 this year (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1
“I'm a say the Saints... Again, no quarterback. Could be in the running for first overall.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84a naive guess scored 95.76-43.84 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 9 the year before
skill:
-43.84
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
95.76
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cam Ward to be 1st on the depth chart
“But I do think Cam Ward is gonna be the guy there, and I think he's gonna be a really good player.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
TEN
skill:
16.67
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
“Here we go. Twenty twenty five, way too early, powerless rankings, number 23... Number 32, they have the toughest schedule in the NFL... It's the New York Football Giants, and that is your powerless ranking.”
Close · 47Scored 46.67a naive guess scored 83.33-73.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-73.33
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
46.67
baseline:
83.33
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
9
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Anthony Richardson to be 1st on the depth chart
“It has to be it has to be Anthony Richardson because you've invested, draft capital, and you've waited, you know, patiently for this guy to to blossom.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 75+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
0
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
75
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
4
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18

Brockman predicts the Patriots win 10-plus games in the coming season for the first time since Tom Brady, floating a 10-7 record based on their schedule. He also expects Caleb Williams to make a massive leap and finish top five in MVP voting, which he agrees implies an 11- or 12-win Bears season and Coach of the Year for Ben Johnson.4 graded calls · May 26, 2025

New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“The Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady. ... I think ten and seven is not unrealistic looking at this schedule.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
40
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year
“You're talking about Ben Johnson coach of the year. You're that's what you're talking about. That's what I'm talking about.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Ben Johnson
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins
“That means you're talking about eleven, twelve win season there... That's what I'm talking about.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15+170 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
6.75
skill:
170
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
15
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)
“Caleb Williams is gonna take a massive leap. I'm talking top five MVP incoming.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Caleb Williams
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman argued the Giants should start Jaxson Dart from day one, predicted Shedeur Sanders would start the most games at quarterback for the Browns in 2025, said Caleb Williams would break the Bears' single-season passing yardage and touchdown records, forecast three of the top-five drafting teams making the playoffs, and picked Carolina to win the NFC South while Tampa Bay still makes the playoffs.4 graded calls · Apr 28, 2025

Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds
“Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025. That's a tall order, pal. 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 24.61+110.78 skill
How this was scored
naive:
16.82
skill:
110.78
what happened:
27
player:
Caleb Williams
season:
2025
accuracy:
80
baseline:
24.61
predicted:
30
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
20
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
“the Giants, they should just go ahead and start Jackson dart day one”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“They still have a really good season. There's still a playoff team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Williams to record 3,900 passing yards
“Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025... 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.87a naive guess scored 31.73+132.28 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2596.37
skill:
132.28
what happened:
3942
player:
Caleb Williams
season:
2025
accuracy:
97.87
baseline:
31.73
predicted:
3900
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
3541
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1651.74
zero at percent out:
50

Brockman predicts Travis Hunter and Shedeur Sanders go second and third overall, and that a record-ish five quarterbacks — Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shough and Jalen Milroe — will be taken in the first round, arguing Milroe's draft invite proves the league has a first-round grade on him.4 graded calls · Apr 7, 2025

Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Cam Ward to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“The league has a first round grade on Jalen Milrow... five quarterbacks in the first round in two weeks.”
Miss · 7Scored 7.43a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jalen Milroe
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
7.43
baseline:
50
actual pick:
92
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
7.43
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Tyler Shough to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
40
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.10 graded calls · Nov 25, 2024

Buffalo Bills to win
“They are going to get blasted by Buffalo next week... And they're gonna be five and seven”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
10-35
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“Raven's check.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
“Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Saquon Barkley
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
skill:
139
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
“The Cowboys are making the playoffs, and the Commanders are missing them.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
139
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.39
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
7
Think this grade is wrong?