Brockman predicted the NFC South order as Falcons first, Buccaneers second, Panthers third, Saints last, with both Atlanta and Tampa making the playoffs; he also expects the Saints to end up with the No. 1 overall pick and select Arch Manning.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Team Draft Slot CallsNew Orleans SaintsAug 26, 2025

  New Orleans Saints to pick at number 1

  “In the perfect dream scenario, they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall”

  Close · 74Scored 73.84a naive guess scored 95.76-43.84 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  NO

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  they picked 9 the year before

  skill:

  -43.84

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  73.84

  baseline:

  95.76

  actual pick:

  8

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Power RankingsAug 26, 2025

  “At the bottom, I think it's an obvious Saints being fourth... I think Carolina is an is an up and coming team, but I still think they're third. I still think they're behind Atlanta and Tampa... I'm gonna go with Atlanta first, Tampa.”

  Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  0

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  90

  baseline:

  90

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  4

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksAtlanta FalconsAug 26, 2025

  Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs

  “But I do think they both make the playoffs.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  ATL

  skill:

  -200

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  false

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  false

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersAug 26, 2025

  Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

  “But I do think they both make the playoffs.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  TB

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  false

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksArch ManningNew Orleans SaintsAug 26, 2025

  Arch Manning to be picked at number 1

  “they have the number one pick. Arch wins the Heisman, the Natty, and and they take him first overall”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Arch Manning

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  undrafted

  outcome:

  went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  undrafted

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  0

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Division WinnersAtlanta FalconsAug 26, 2025

  Atlanta Falcons to win the division

  “I know you guys are gonna take the Bucks first, but I'm gonna take the Falcons first... I'm gonna go with Atlanta first”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?