Move the Sticks · Jun 28, 2025
An unnamed panelist (Speaker 5, addressed only as "Isaiah") backed Josh Allen and the Bills as the team with the momentum to get past Kansas City, said Allen would win a Super Bowl before Lamar Jackson, ordered the AFC's top five teams, and gave a top-five tight end list.
“I am going to go with the team and the quarterback that I feel has the most momentum as of late... that is Josh Allen in the Buffalo Bills.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Super Bowl PicksBuffalo BillsJun 28, 2025
“Who gets that Super Bowl first? Between who Lamar and Josh? I think Josh gets it.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Power RankingsBuffalo BillsJun 28, 2025
“Once you go Kansas City, once you go the Bills, once you go the Ravens. For me, the number four is Houston... my number five it has to be Denver.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 25-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Top Player ListsJun 28, 2025
“Number five on my lists... Sam Laporta... Travis Kelce is number four on my list... Trey McBride... brock Bowers... Number one... George Chittle”
Scored 55a naive guess scored 50+10 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 10
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 55
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- TE 5: 55
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsJun 28, 2025
“I believe that is Josh Allen in the Buffalo Bills... I think that they're one game away from going to the big time.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.