Eisen stuck with his preseason call of a Chiefs three-peat, predicting a 32-26 Kansas City win with Patrick Mahomes as Super Bowl MVP.

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Award PicksPatrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025

  Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP

  “Patrick Mahomes is gonna be the MVP, and he's gonna join Shaq and Michael Jordan as the, only human beings to win the MVP of their sports championship game”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  award:

  mvp

  naive:

  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before

  skill:

  0

  player:

  Patrick Mahomes

  season:

  2024

  winner:

  Josh Allen

  correct:

  false

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Super Bowl PicksKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025

  Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

  “I predicted on our show ... that the Kansas City Chiefs would in fact be the three pea champions of this league. And I saw it then, and I'm seeing it now.”

  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  KC

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  50

  baseline:

  50

  champion:

  PHI

  runner up:

  KC

  naive pick:

  KC

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025

  Kansas City Chiefs 32 — Eagles 26

  “And I think that the Chiefs are winning this football game, and they're gonna win it with yet another 30 burger... I have a thirty two twenty six final.”

  Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 62.56-41.14 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  22-40

  skill:

  -41.14

  they picked:

  KC

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  21.43

  baseline:

  62.56

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  naive home margin:

  2.28

  predicted margin:

  6

  Think this is wrong?