Chris Brockman · May 4, 2026
Brockman predicted only Stafford and Josh Allen of last year's MVP vote-getters get votes again, Fernando Mendoza starts and wins Rookie of the Year, the Colts win the AFC South, AJ Brown is traded to New England leaving DeVonta Smith as Philadelphia's clear No. 1 and a breakout star, five running backs top 1,600 yards, George Pickens breaks a Cowboys receiving record, and Justin Fields starts for Kansas City in September.
“Fernando Mendoza's winning rookie of the year.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
17 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Player Season NumbersBijan RobinsonMay 4, 2026
Bijan Robinson to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Bijan. Bijan's doing it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Award PicksMatthew StaffordMay 4, 2026
Matthew Stafford to win receives MVP votes
“Only two are gonna get votes this year... I think it's gonna be Stafford and and Allen.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Award PicksJosh AllenMay 4, 2026
Josh Allen to win receives MVP votes
“Only two are gonna get votes this year... I think it's gonna be Stafford and and Allen.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Award PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersMay 4, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Even if he doesn't start until October, and he is gonna start this year Okay. Fernando Mendoza's winning rookie of the year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
“he is gonna start this year... And by the way, I think he's gonna start week one”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersIndianapolis ColtsMay 4, 2026
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
“I don't I wanna go Colts. Colts?”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
“Devante Smith is gonna have an Ole Miss teammate leave town. AJ Brown's going to New England.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
“This is gonna be Devante Smith's first year as the clear cut number one wide receiver in Philadelphia.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost
“Devante Smith will be the next Jackson Smith and Jigmine... Now thrust into this number one role spotlight. And then boom. Breakout.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Player Season NumbersJames CookMay 4, 2026
James Cook to record 1,600 rushing yards
“We're gonna have five top 1,600 this year... You say James Cook does it again.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Player Season NumbersDerrick HenryMay 4, 2026
Derrick Henry to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Derrick Henry does it... They just got a left guard who I think is gonna make the pro football hall of fame”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Player Season NumbersJahmyr GibbsMay 4, 2026
Jahmyr Gibbs to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Jameer Gibbs is gonna get nothing Gibbs. Gibbs is gonna do it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Player Season NumbersAshton JeantyMay 4, 2026
Ashton Jeanty to record 1,600 rushing yards
“I think Genti does it. You're out of your mind, dude... He had 2,000 yards in college.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Player Season NumbersDe'Von AchaneMay 4, 2026
De'Von Achane to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Devin hanging. A chan. 1,600 yards. Mhmm. With Malik Willis who can't throw it to first base.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Kenneth Walker III to record 1,600 rushing yards
“I think k nine in Kansas City gets it. Not a chance.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
George Pickens to record 1,750 receiving yards
“George Pickett is gonna set a cowboys receiving record this year. I don't know if it's receptions, one thirty five, or yards, seventeen fifty, both set by CD in 2023. He's breaking one of those.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
“Even if Mahomes is ready to start week one, the Chiefs to start Justin Fields for all of September.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.