Rich Eisen ranked his top five winners of the NFL offseason so far, with the Commanders first, followed by the Vikings, Bears, Rams and Raiders (adding the Eagles as an extra), and argued the Raiders' new formula of Pete Carroll, Geno Smith and a possible Ashton Jeanty addition would produce a winning record.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Power RankingsMar 20, 2025

  “My top five winners of the off season so far... Number five is the Raiders... number four of the Los Angeles Rams... The bears are three... Number two on my list... are the Vikings... number one on the list... What a what a brilliant march for the Washington commanders”

  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 60-20 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  -20

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  50

  baseline:

  60

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  5

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersMar 20, 2025

  Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins

  “Genti and Mostert with Gino and Bowers and, you know, Jacoby Myers. It's you're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that... the nonsense of the four wins and three wins, I I think are over.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  LV

  naive:

  6.25

  skill:

  -70

  what happened:

  3

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  35

  predicted:

  9

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?