Chris Brockman · Sep 15, 2025
Brockman argued the Colts are a playoff team and Jonathan Taylor is the NFL's best running back, said Russell Wilson would hold the Giants' starting job all season, that Mac Jones will be a starting quarterback somewhere in 2026, and that Jordan Love will finish no lower than second in MVP voting.
“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL. Colts are a playoff team.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay PackersSep 15, 2025
Jordan Love to win MVP
“I wanna talk about their quarterback, Jordan Love. He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jordan Love
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Playoff PicksIndianapolis ColtsSep 15, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL. Colts are a playoff team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- skill:
- -194
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Depth Chart CallsRussell WilsonNew York GiantsSep 15, 2025
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Russell Wilson. He's gonna be the giant starting quarterback the entire season.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Russell Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Depth Chart CallsMac JonesSep 15, 2025
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“Mac Jones is an ex Sam Darnold. He's gonna be a starting quarterback in 2026.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- SF
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Mac Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17