JP picked the Bills, Seahawks (roughly 17-10), Patriots and Rams in the divisional round, and offered several 2026 draft projections including Ty Simpson as a first-rounder and Jonah Coleman as the class's second running back.

8 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 15, 2026

  Los Angeles Rams to win

  “I'm also gonna go Rams. I do think this game is gonna be close.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  LAR

  score:

  20-17

  skill:

  100

  they picked:

  LAR

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  CHI

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 15, 2026

  Buffalo Bills to win

  “I worry that the Broncos will try but can't, and that puts Bo Nix into a lot of unfavorable situations. So I do think the Bills win this game.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  DEN

  score:

  30-33

  skill:

  -100

  they picked:

  BUF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  DEN

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsJonah ColemanWashington CommandersJan 15, 2026

  Jonah Coleman to be 2nd running back off the board

  “I think if I had a, a a RB two behind Jeremiah Love in this class, I think it's Jonah Coleman.”

  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 37.45+12.55 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 13 at random averages 37.45

  skill:

  12.55

  player:

  Jonah Coleman

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  50

  baseline:

  37.45

  position:

  running back

  class size:

  13

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  4

  predicted order:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksColton HoodJan 15, 2026

  Colton Hood to be picked “back half of the first round” (picks 1–32)

  “I could maybe see a guy like Colton Hood sneaking into the back half of the first round with a good, like, post season circuit.”

  Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Colton Hood

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  80.52

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  37

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  80.52

  predicted pick:

  back half of the first round (picks 1–32)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonJan 15, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

  “but he's probably going to go in the first round because there is no other quarterback”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  13

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  first round (picks 1–32)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 15, 2026

  New England Patriots to win

  “I sort of feel like the patriots win. Like, I I feel like the patriots win a close one.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  NE

  score:

  16-28

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  NE

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  NE

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersJan 15, 2026

  San Francisco 49ers 17 — 40 niners 10

  “I'm not gonna say it's thirteen three like week week 18... I think this one's gonna be, like, a seventeen ten.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingJan 15, 2026

  Monroe Freeling to be picked “round one”

  “I could see Monroe Freeling sneaking in the round one because teams need a tackle”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?