Brockman predicts the Patriots win 10-plus games in the coming season for the first time since Tom Brady, floating a 10-7 record based on their schedule. He also expects Caleb Williams to make a massive leap and finish top five in MVP voting, which he agrees implies an 11- or 12-win Bears season and Coach of the Year for Ben Johnson.

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Coach Award PicksMay 26, 2025

  Ben Johnson to win Coach of the Year

  “You're talking about Ben Johnson coach of the year. You're that's what you're talking about. That's what I'm talking about.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  award:

  coach_of_the_year

  coach:

  Ben Johnson

  naive:

  the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  winner:

  Mike Vrabel

  correct:

  false

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Award PicksCaleb WilliamsChicago BearsMay 26, 2025

  Caleb Williams to win MVP (top-five finish)

  “Caleb Williams is gonna take a massive leap. I'm talking top five MVP incoming.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  award:

  mvp

  naive:

  the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before

  skill:

  0

  player:

  Caleb Williams

  season:

  2025

  winner:

  Matthew Stafford

  correct:

  false

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Season Win TotalsChicago BearsMay 26, 2025

  Chicago Bears to finish with 11 wins

  “That means you're talking about eleven, twelve win season there... That's what I'm talking about.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15+170 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  CHI

  naive:

  6.75

  skill:

  170

  what happened:

  11

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  15

  predicted:

  11

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsMay 26, 2025

  New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins

  “The Patriots are gonna win 10 plus games this year for the first time since Tom Brady. ... I think ten and seven is not unrealistic looking at this schedule.”

  Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  NE

  naive:

  6.25

  skill:

  40

  what happened:

  14

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  20

  baseline:

  0

  predicted:

  10

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?