Breer says the consensus he's gathered is that Fernando Mendoza is far and away the top quarterback of the class and a potential No. 1 overall pick, while some teams don't see Ty Simpson as a first-rounder — though he wouldn't be surprised if Simpson ends up going in the first round anyway. He also expects Aaron Rodgers to return to Pittsburgh for a 22nd season and sees a real possibility of the Eagles trading AJ Brown to the Patriots after June 1.

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonMar 25, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

  “So, would it surprise me if he won the first round? No. ... it wouldn't surprise me if he winds up going in the first round.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  13

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  first round (picks 1–32)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsFernando MendozaMar 25, 2026

  Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board

  “it does feel like the general consensus is it's Fernando Mendoza at the top of the class and then a drop off... the consensus that I've gotten thus far is that Mendoza is far and away, you know, the the the number one guy”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08

  skill:

  66.92

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2026

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  33.08

  position:

  quarterback

  class size:

  10

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  1

  predicted order:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Trade and Signing CallsA.J. BrownNew England PatriotsMar 25, 2026

  A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots

  “I certainly think that there's a possibility that the Patriots and Eagles do wind up doing a deal post June 1”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Trade and Signing CallsAaron RodgersPittsburgh SteelersMar 25, 2026

  Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

  “there's a chance there's a there's a good chance he comes back... maybe he could come back and play a I think this would be twenty second year”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?