Chris Brockman · Sep 1, 2025
Brockman opened the season-preview show with a slate of bold calls: the Cowboys collapse into a top-five draft pick after the Micah Parsons trade, the Giants are this year's out-of-nowhere team, the 49ers reach championship weekend with Brock Purdy as an MVP finalist, and the Patriots make the playoffs as part of four 2024-class quarterbacks reaching the postseason.
“The Cowboys are gonna finish last in the NFC East and have a top five pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Team Draft Slot CallsDallas CowboysSep 1, 2025
Dallas Cowboys to pick “top five pick” (picks 1–5)
“The Cowboys are gonna finish last in the NFC East and have a top five pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11a naive guess scored 73.84+6.54 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 12 the year before
- skill:
- 6.54
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 73.84
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- top five pick (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ersSep 1, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksBrock PurdySan Francisco 49ersSep 1, 2025
Brock Purdy to win MVP finalist
“The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Brock Purdy
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksNew England PatriotsSep 1, 2025
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“What world do the Patriots make the playoffs in? This world? ... Yeah. The two that they make it in. Let's go. ... 10 wins should get in in the FC.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Surprise Team CallsNew York GiantsSep 1, 2025
New York Giants to beat expectations
“Every year, there's a team that comes out of nowhere... This year, this team was on it, but I don't know. It just seems like there's some vibes around this team. There's a coach we like. Is it the Giants?”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.