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Chris Brockman · Sep 1, 2025

Brockman opened the season-preview show with a slate of bold calls: the Cowboys collapse into a top-five draft pick after the Micah Parsons trade, the Giants are this year's out-of-nowhere team, the 49ers reach championship weekend with Brock Purdy as an MVP finalist, and the Patriots make the playoffs as part of four 2024-class quarterbacks reaching the postseason.

The Cowboys are gonna finish last in the NFC East and have a top five pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft.

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Dallas Cowboys to pick “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    The Cowboys are gonna finish last in the NFC East and have a top five pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11a naive guess scored 73.84+6.54 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DAL
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 12 the year before
    skill:
    6.54
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    73.84
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    top five pick (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs

    The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    naive said:
    false
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made playoffs:
    true
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Brock Purdy to win MVP finalist

    The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Brock Purdy
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    false
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    What world do the Patriots make the playoffs in? This world? ... Yeah. The two that they make it in. Let's go. ... 10 wins should get in in the FC.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    naive said:
    false
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made playoffs:
    true
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Giants to beat expectations

    Every year, there's a team that comes out of nowhere... This year, this team was on it, but I don't know. It just seems like there's some vibes around this team. There's a coach we like. Is it the Giants?

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.