Rich Eisen · Sep 15, 2025
Eisen endorsed the Colts as a playoff team and Jonathan Taylor as the league's best running back, agreed Mac Jones will be a starting quarterback in 2026 and that Jordan Love will finish no lower than second in MVP voting, and said the Packers look like a 13-14 win team.
“Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksIndianapolis ColtsSep 15, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“Bro, they they are a playoff team. ... And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- skill:
- -194
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 17
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction. I have bought one.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- rushing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Season Win TotalsGreen Bay PackersSep 15, 2025
Green Bay Packers to finish with 13 wins
“Certainly, the Packers look like a 14 or 13 win team.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 85-126.1 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- naive:
- 9.75
- skill:
- -126.1
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Award PicksJordan LoveGreen Bay PackersSep 15, 2025
Jordan Love to win MVP
“He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season. Can't argue with this. It's his time. I can't argue with it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jordan Love
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Depth Chart CallsMac JonesSep 15, 2025
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“I can't sit here and say if somebody needs a new starting quarterback in 2026 that they won't say, look at what Donald did. Let's take Mac Jones. ... I'll buy it.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.17 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- SF
- skill:
- -16.17
- player:
- Mac Jones
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 17