Chris Brockman · Jul 21, 2025
Brockman argued the Buccaneers, with everyone back on offense, have a real chance at the NFC's No. 1 seed and a path to 13 wins, and that Baker Mayfield is a top-eight quarterback. He also declared the Bengals will win the AFC North, saying a 12-5 record takes the division.
“The Bucs have a real chance to be the one seed in the NFC.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Baker Mayfield to finish top 8 at his position, by passing yards
“Baker Mayfield, what, top eight quarterbacks?”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 41.67+83.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 83.33
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 41.67
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 3
- actual finish:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 8
- Season Win TotalsTampa Bay BuccaneersJul 21, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 13 wins
“There's a path to 13 wins for the buck. That's all I'm saying.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 75-150 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -150
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldTampa Bay BuccaneersJul 21, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
“The Bucs have a real chance to be the one seed in the NFC. Everybody back all 11 on offense.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersCincinnati BengalsJul 21, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
“The Bengals are winning the AFC North. ... I think twelve and five wins the AFC North.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.