Brockman argued the Commanders and Jayden Daniels will win in Detroit, beating the NFC's No. 1 seed, and separately that Mike Vrabel will produce a winning record (roughly 9-8) for New England next season.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsJan 13, 2025

  New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

  “Mike Vrabel's gonna lead the Patriots to a winning record next year. Let's go. ... to say you're gonna be nine and eight next year”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 55-55 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  NE

  naive:

  6.25

  skill:

  -55

  what happened:

  4

  season:

  2024

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  55

  predicted:

  9

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersJan 13, 2025

  Washington Commanders to win

  “Jaden Daniels is gonna do what CJ Stroud couldn't last year. He's gonna beat the one seed.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  WAS

  score:

  45-31

  skill:

  100

  they picked:

  WAS

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  DET

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?