Ryan Reynolds · Sep 12, 2023
Reynolds ranks all 32 NFL teams in his Week 2 power rankings, with the 49ers first and the Cardinals last. Along the way he predicts the Saints can reach double-digit wins, that the Browns and Buccaneers could start 2-0, that the Chargers are positioned to start 3-1, that a Texans 0-5 start is possible, and that Carolina will struggle over its first six games.
“If Purdy continues to play like he did on opening day, the 49ers are the team to beat in the NFC.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived Sep 9, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Power RankingsSep 12, 2023
“NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. San Francisco 49ers ... 32. Arizona Cardinals”
Scored 82.86a naive guess scored 70.88+23.25 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 23.25
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 82.86
- baseline:
- 70.88
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksSep 12, 2023
“A similar outing from both units could lead to a 2-0 start with a home game vs. Chicago on deck.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 17-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Season Win TotalsSep 12, 2023
“Given their league-easiest schedule, the Saints can finish with double-digit wins if they finish more drives while playing effective defense.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+9.7 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NO
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- 9.7
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Season Win TotalsSep 12, 2023
“Los Angeles is still well-positioned to start 3-1.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksSep 12, 2023
“If Cleveland's defense plays this well in Pittsburgh on Monday night, the Browns could start 2-0.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.