Ryan Reynolds
29.88%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
-67.27
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
53
Graded calls
across 1 article. 13 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 53
“Nick Chubb leads the league in rushing yards.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Nick Chubb
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
- 85
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“Herbert leads the league in passing yards.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -100
- player:
- Justin Herbert
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- position:
- QB
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 11
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“Arizona Cardinals: 2-15”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ARI
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Baltimore Ravens: 11-6”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 25+70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 70
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Los Angeles Rams: 4-13”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Buffalo Bills: 11-6”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- naive:
- 10.75
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“New York Jets: 12-5”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- -170
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the league in receptions.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 41.67+83.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 83.33
- player:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 41.67
- position:
- WR
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 10
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 1. Jaguars”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“San Francisco 49ers: 12-5”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- 10.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-14”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- -170
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Houston Texans: 5-12”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 15-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- HOU
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 95-110 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- -110
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 3. Jets”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Carolina Panthers: 6-11”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- 40
- what happened:
- 2
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“New Orleans Saints: 11-6”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NO
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Minnesota Vikings: 8-9”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 25+110 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIN
- naive:
- 10.75
- skill:
- 110
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“New York Giants: 8-9”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 15-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Tennessee Titans: 7-10”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 65+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TEN
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Seattle Seahawks: 11-6”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 95-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Chiefs”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 5. Bills”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Super Bowl Prediction: Bengals over Cowboys”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- champion:
- KC
- runner up:
- SF
- naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Ja’Marr Chase leads the league in receiving touchdowns.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 91.67-183.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -183.33
- player:
- Ja'Marr Chase
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 12
- actual finish:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 7. Falcons”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 5. Seahawks”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 1. 49ers”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Lions”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Micah Parsons leads the league in sacks and wins Defensive Player of the Year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Micah Parsons
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- LB
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 102
- actual finish:
- 82
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“Burrow leads the league in touchdown passes.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Bengals”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 6. Ravens”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 7. Chargers”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Dallas Cowboys: 12-5”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 65+70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- 70
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 3. Saints”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NO
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Cowboys”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Cleveland Browns: 9-8”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 35+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Miami Dolphins: 10-7”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- MIA
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“New England Patriots: 7-10”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 15+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Las Vegas Raiders: 4-13”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 85-130 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 7.25
- skill:
- -130
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Denver Broncos: 8-9”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 95-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Detroit Lions: 10-7”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 35+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 8.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Washington Commanders: 6-11”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- WAS
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- 90
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- naive:
- 11.25
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Chicago Bears: 8-9”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 10
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Green Bay Packers: 7-10”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- naive:
- 8.25
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Atlanta Falcons: 9-8”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- naive:
- 7.75
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 7
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 6. Eagles”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Indianapolis Colts: 4-13”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 45-90 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- -90
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18