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Adam Rank Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Leaderboard / Adam Rank

Adam Rank

Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)

Every take from Adam Rank, including the ones still waiting →

Is Adam Rank accurate? Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Adam Rank scores 95.84% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 70.54, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

95.84%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

70.54

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 2 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 2

Rank expects Michael Carter to start for the Cardinals against Atlanta and picks Jalen Hurts as the week's top fantasy quarterback in a big game against Washington.Dec 16, 2025
- Michael Carter to be 1st on the depth chart
  “It feels like Michael Carter is gonna go out there and get the start. He's going up against the Falcons”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+29.25 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  ARI
  skill:
  29.25
  player:
  Michael Carter
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  75
  position:
  RB
  naive slot:
  4
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

1.17

measured by:

rushing yards

the naive guess:

where he sat last season

weeks in the season:

predicted slot:

weeks left when called:

Think this grade is wrong?

Rank recommends JJ McCarthy as a Week 15 quarterback streamer against Dallas and thinks Shedeur Sanders can carry fantasy teams into the semifinals against the Bears. For the Week 15 'perfect lineup' he picks Drake Maye as the top quarterback and Christian McCaffrey as a top running back, and he expects Terry McLaurin to produce with Marcus Mariota starting.Dec 9, 2025

Drake Maye to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“I'm gonna go with Drake May... So I'm gonna go with Drake May as my quarterback one of the week.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 0+111.83 skill
How this was scored
skill:
111.83
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
1.22
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
22
actual finish:
2
weeks left when called:
4
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?