Brian & Geoff

45%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

21.25

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 3 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

80% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 4

Filling in on Two Pros and a Cup of Joe, Brian said he loves the Lions to go over their 10.5-win total, citing their last-place schedule and nine NFC home games, and predicted at least 11 wins. He also liked the Commanders to go over 7.5 wins with Jayden Daniels healthy.Feb 19, 2026
“But now the Washington Commanders. It's a bi lo spo seven and a half. You get Jayden Daniels for the full season. That's really low. ... When I like, I like over I think”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
40
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
0
predicted:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Filling in on Two Pros and a Cup of Joe, Brian said he loves the Lions to go over their 10.5-win total, citing their last-place schedule and nine NFC home games, and predicted at least 11 wins. He also liked the Commanders to go over 7.5 wins with Jayden Daniels healthy.Feb 19, 2026
“I know their division is hard, but getting to eleven wins, I love the Lions to get to at least eleven wins this coming season.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+15 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
15
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeff Schwartz agreed the Lions are a team he could back to go over 10.5 wins given their softer schedule, and suggested Seattle regresses to roughly a 10-7 season after losing offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak.Feb 19, 2026
“and the Lions do get a break this year of having that schedule that allows them to win games ... So I I could buy the Lions being over team.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+15 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
11.75
skill:
15
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeff Schwartz agreed the Lions are a team he could back to go over 10.5 wins given their softer schedule, and suggested Seattle regresses to roughly a 10-7 season after losing offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak.Feb 19, 2026
“it feels like a team that if they're Darnold's ten fifteen percent worse. The offense isn't as good. You lose a couple of guys in defensive free agency, and you're just not as good. Next season, that could be a ten and seven team.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 5+15 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
naive:
9.25
skill:
15
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
5
predicted:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?