Geoff Schwartz· Feb 19, 2026
Jeff Schwartz agreed the Lions are a team he could back to go over 10.5 wins given their softer schedule, and suggested Seattle regresses to roughly a 10-7 season after losing offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak.
“So I I could buy the Lions being over team.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 2 season win totals — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
wins10They said
14What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsSeattle SeahawksFeb 19, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10 wins
“it feels like a team that if they're Darnold's ten fifteen percent worse. The offense isn't as good. You lose a couple of guys in defensive free agency, and you're just not as good. Next season, that could be a ten and seven team.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 5+15 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 15
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Season Win TotalsDetroit LionsFeb 19, 2026
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“and the Lions do get a break this year of having that schedule that allows them to win games ... So I I could buy the Lions being over team.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+15 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 15
- what happened:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 45
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 57Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.
- Richard ShermanScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 69Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") gave his own Week 2 picks: Seattle, the Niners in dominant fashion, his Lions over Buffalo, Cincinnati 31-27 at Houston, Chicago, Pittsburgh 24-21 as a road upset, Jacksonville by at least a touchdown, Dallas 26-22, and Kansas City handily.
- Connor J. BenintendiScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 52Benintendi predicts Sam Darnold misses three more games with Drew Lock starting, and forecasts Seattle winning all three games — at Arizona, at Washington, and home vs. the Chargers — to reach 4-0 after Week 4.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener writes that rookie Jadarian Price will be Seattle's starting running back in Week 2 at Arizona, and suggests the Seahawks should win that road game if their defensive line can slow Jeremiyah Love.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. He also expects Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and he floats the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 20Nick Wright walked through the Browns' quarterback situation and then gave leans and bets on every AFC team's win total, offering concrete win-count expectations for several clubs plus a call on Brock Bowers.
- John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Middlekauff says Denver's floor is ten wins, predicts Miami implodes to four or five wins and a top-three-or-four draft slot with Tyreek Hill traded, thinks the 49ers beat expectations with nine or ten wins, sees the Patriots at eight or nine wins, calls the Chargers over 9.5 a lock, expects Jared Goff to make five or six Pro Bowls, and says the Packers are flying under the radar.
- Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Cowherd takes the Titans over their five-and-a-half win total on the strength of Cam Ward and Brian Callahan, calls New England an eight-to-nine win team, picks Green Bay to win the NFC North, expects the Giants to lose all four games to Washington and Philadelphia, and sketches a quarterback ranking with C.J. Stroud around 10th and Baker Mayfield 11th.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Denver BroncosMiss · 20Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.