Jeff Schwartz agreed the Lions are a team he could back to go over 10.5 wins given their softer schedule, and suggested Seattle regresses to roughly a 10-7 season after losing offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Season Win TotalsFeb 19, 2026

  “it feels like a team that if they're Darnold's ten fifteen percent worse. The offense isn't as good. You lose a couple of guys in defensive free agency, and you're just not as good. Next season, that could be a ten and seven team.”

  Scored 20a naive guess scored 5+15 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  SEA

  naive:

  9.25

  skill:

  15

  what happened:

  14

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  20

  baseline:

  5

  predicted:

  10

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Season Win TotalsFeb 19, 2026

  “and the Lions do get a break this year of having that schedule that allows them to win games ... So I I could buy the Lions being over team.”

  Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+15 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  DET

  naive:

  11.75

  skill:

  15

  what happened:

  9

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  60

  baseline:

  45

  predicted:

  11

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?