Derek Murphy

Every take from Derek Murphy, including the ones still waiting →

Is Derek Murphy accurate? Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Derek Murphy scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 50, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

100%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

50

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

2

Graded calls

across 1 article.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 2

Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.2 graded calls · Jan 23, 2026
- Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
  “it convinced me that these guys have a real shot going to the Super Bowl, and I think it's gonna happen”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  100
  they picked:
  SEA
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  champions:
  NE,SEA
  difficulty:
  1
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18

weeks left when called:

0

reached the Super Bowl:

yes

lost the conference final:

no

Think this grade is wrong?

Seattle Seahawks to win

“I think the Seahawks dog walked the Rams.”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill

How this was scored

won:: SEA
score:: 27-31
skill:: 0
they picked:: SEA
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 100
the naive pick:: SEA
difficulty:: 1
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?