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Dylan Von Arx Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Leaderboard / Dylan Von Arx

Dylan Von Arx

Writes at Sports Illustrated

Every take from Dylan Von Arx, including the ones still waiting →

Is Dylan Von Arx accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Dylan Von Arx scores 42.86% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -76.14, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

42.86%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-76.14

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 3 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Von Arx expects Denver to look better but still fall to a sharper Jaguars team.Sep 18, 2026
- Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Broncos 20
  “Pick : Jaguars 24, Broncos 20”
  Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 82.1-76.14 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  13-20
  skill:
  -76.14
  they picked:
  JAX
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  42.86
  baseline:
  82.1
  difficulty:
  1.94
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  7
  weeks left when called:
  17
  naive home margin:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

-0.52

predicted margin:

Think this grade is wrong?