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Leaderboard / HisDirkness

HisDirkness

Writes at KC Sports Network (podcast)

Every take from HisDirkness, including the ones still waiting →

Is HisDirkness accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, HisDirkness scores 21.43% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 4.7, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

21.43%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

4.7

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 1 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Dirk predicts the Patriots beat the Seahawks 17-13 in the Super Bowl and thinks D'Andre Swift will be a cap casualty released by the Bears.Jan 28, 2026
- New England Patriots 17 — Seahawks 13
  “It's gonna happen, and patriots are gonna fucking win 1713 or something.”
  Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 16.73+4.7 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  29-13
  skill:
  4.7
  they picked:
  NE
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  21.43
  baseline:
  16.73
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  16
  weeks left when called:
  0

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

naive home margin:

2.03

predicted margin:

Think this grade is wrong?