Mike Garafolo

Every take from Mike Garafolo, including the ones still waiting →

Is Mike Garafolo accurate? Across 3 graded calls in 3 articles, Mike Garafolo scores 66.19% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.16, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

66.19%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

6.16

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

3

Graded calls

across 3 articles. 7 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

85.71% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 3

For his Whiteboard Wednesday shock pick he went with the underdog Broncos as the No. 1 seed shocking the world, while conceding he had ranked the Bills first in the AFC and doubted it would happen.Jan 14, 2026
- Denver Broncos to beat Bills
  “So shock the world number one seed, Broncos go. I don't know that it's gonna happen.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  DEN
  score:
  30-33
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  DEN
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  DEN
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

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Ranked the six remaining AFC teams with Buffalo first, New England second and the Chargers last, citing the Bills' run game and Jacksonville's run defense.Jan 6, 2026

“So I got the Chargers at six... The Pittsburgh Steelers are number five... they are playing in the Houston Texans... I'm going to put the number one rushing defense here [Jaguars]... I'm gonna put the Patriots here... So I put them at number two, number one. Let's go Buffalo”
Hit · 89Scored 88.57a naive guess scored 20+68.57 skill
How this was scored
skill:
68.57
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
88.57
baseline:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
6
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Put the Buccaneers at No. 1 in his top five, followed by the Chiefs, Lions, Colts and Seahawks, and explicitly left the Packers out.Oct 15, 2025

“I'm going the Seahawks here at number five... I'm going to put Indianapolis right here at number four... I'm gonna put the Detroit Lions here at number three... Speaking of the Chiefs, Rushie Rice is coming back... And number one... I'm going with the Tampa Bay back at number one”
Miss · 10Scored 10a naive guess scored 40-50.1 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-50.1
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
10
baseline:
40
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
5
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?