Mike Harmon

Writes at Fox Sports Radio (podcast)

Every take from Mike Harmon, including the ones still waiting →

93.06%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

48.58

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 31 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 4

Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season.4 graded calls · Jan 2, 2026
- Trevor Lawrence to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
  “But there's Trevor Lawrence all the way up towards a top four fantasy finish for the year.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+106 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  106
  player:
  Trevor Lawrence
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  QB
  ranked by:
  fantasy points
  difficulty:
  1.06
  naive basis:
  where he finished last season

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

weeks in the season:

naive finish:

actual finish:

weeks left when called:

predicted finish:

Think this grade is wrong?

Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart

“Operations shutdown, Trey Lance looks like he's gonna be the starter.”

Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill

How this was scored

club:: LAC
skill:: 0
player:: Trey Lance
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 91.67
baseline:: 91.67
position:: QB
naive slot:: 3
actual slot:: 2
difficulty:: 1.06
measured by:: passing yards
naive basis:: where he sat last season
weeks in the season:: 18
predicted slot:: 1
weeks left when called:: 1

Think this grade is wrong?

“CMC going up against Seattle... Derreck Henry against Pittsburgh... John Robinson going up against New Orleans... RJ. Harvey going up against the Chargers... and then Travis etn the aforementioned he gets the number five spot here”

Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 50+42.4 skill

How this was scored

naive:: a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:: 42.4
placed:: 5
season:: 2025
players:: 5
accuracy:: 90
baseline:: 50
by position:: RB 5: 90
difficulty:: 1.06
weeks in the season:: 18
could not place:: 0
weeks left when called:: 1

Think this grade is wrong?

“Let's get into your top five quarterbacks for Week eighteen... Drake May going up against Miami... Trevor Lawrence going up against Tennessee... Lamar Jackson... Brock Purdy going up against Seattle... So I'm gonna take Dak Prescott in that five spot.”

Hit · 85Scored 85a naive guess scored 50+37.1 skill

How this was scored

naive:: a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:: 37.1
placed:: 5
season:: 2025
players:: 5
accuracy:: 85
baseline:: 50
by position:: QB 5: 85
difficulty:: 1.06
weeks in the season:: 18
could not place:: 0
weeks left when called:: 1

Think this grade is wrong?