Mike Harmon · Jan 2, 2026
Harmon gave his Week 18 fantasy rankings — top five quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers — plus lists of 'hot plays,' 'cold sores' (players to avoid) and 'ninjas' (sneaky plays), and said Trevor Lawrence would land around a top-four fantasy quarterback finish for the season.
“So I'm gonna take Dak Prescott in that five spot.”
said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →
35 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy RankingsJan 2, 2026
“Let's get into your top five quarterbacks for Week eighteen... Drake May going up against Miami... Trevor Lawrence going up against Tennessee... Lamar Jackson... Brock Purdy going up against Seattle... So I'm gonna take Dak Prescott in that five spot.”
Hit · 85Scored 85a naive guess scored 50+37.1 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 37.1
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 85
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 5: 85
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 1
Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart
“Operations shutdown, Trey Lance looks like he's gonna be the starter.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LAC
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Trey Lance
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 1
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“But there's Trevor Lawrence all the way up towards a top four fantasy finish for the year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+106 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 106
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 27
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- predicted finish:
- 4
- Fantasy RankingsJan 2, 2026
“CMC going up against Seattle... Derreck Henry against Pittsburgh... John Robinson going up against New Orleans... RJ. Harvey going up against the Chargers... and then Travis etn the aforementioned he gets the number five spot here”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 50+42.4 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 42.4
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 5: 90
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 1
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost
“Devin h Chan, he's on the cold sore list... you probably want another option.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsRay DavisBuffalo BillsJan 2, 2026
Ray Davis to outplay his draft cost
“Ray Davis going up against the Jets... but the Jets, as we know, couldn't cover the three of us.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsTank BigsbyPhiladelphia EaglesJan 2, 2026
Tank Bigsby to outplay his draft cost
“Tank biggs By going up against Washington. Not expecting a ton from Barkley and the starters as they get ready for the playoffs.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsZay FlowersBaltimore RavensJan 2, 2026
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost
“Zay Flowers against Pittsburgh again your touchdown dependent.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsShedeur SandersCleveland BrownsJan 2, 2026
Shedeur Sanders to outplay his draft cost
“Should where Sanders going up against Cincinnati why because he's got no conscience... it is the Cincinnati defense, so you should have some opportunity.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsTyrone Tracy Jr.New York GiantsJan 2, 2026
Tyrone Tracy Jr. to outplay his draft cost
“Tyron Tracy... The touches are still there. I worry about Singletary, but Dallas again no resistance.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsC.J. StroudHouston TexansJan 2, 2026
C.J. Stroud to outplay his draft cost
“CJ. Stroud mentioned him a bit earlier... going up against Indianapolis, they give up. They've been very generous”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost
“And then the obligatory always in Justin Jefferson... The only thing I can put here is he needs fifty three yards for one thousand”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Jacoby Brissett to outplay his draft cost
“Jacoby Brissett like that team stinks, but they keep winging around. He's got eighteen point four better eight of his ten starts”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Fantasy RankingsJan 2, 2026
“Some of the usual suspects, Pooka Nakoua... Jamar Chase... How about Alan raw Sam Brown against the Bears... JSN going up against San Francisco... And then you got Nico Collins going up against the Indianapolis”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsLuther Burden IIIChicago BearsJan 2, 2026
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost
“Take Luther Burton with you. Twenty three point eight. The breakout last week”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Kevin Austin Jr. to outplay his draft cost
“How about Kevin Austen four catches fifty two yards in a score last week... going up against the Atlanta secondary sixth most generous”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Joe Burrow to fall short of his draft cost
“Burrow going up against Cleveland... Cleveland fifth best against quarterbacks”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost
“Trevion Henderson going up against Miami nineteen for eighty two... gets you pretty excited here going against the Miami run defense.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsRico DowdleCarolina PanthersJan 2, 2026
Rico Dowdle to outplay his draft cost
“Rico Dawdle against Tampa... bet a big spot here for Carolina quite obviously.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsMichael WilsonArizona CardinalsJan 2, 2026
Michael Wilson to outplay his draft cost
“Michael Wilson going up against the Rams... Seventeen points per game over the last seven for Wilson, he's been fantastic.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost
“And then Wandale Robinson, why we need targets eight or more targets seven of his last eight games. He'll have another big workload”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Sam Darnold to fall short of his draft cost
“The Sam Darnold is a cautionary tale. I got him right, on the fringe of that back end QB one high, QB two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Baker Mayfield to fall short of his draft cost
“Baker against Carolina. I mean you and I have talked about this with Ian for weeks of I have no idea what I'm getting from.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost
“Jonathan Taylor against Houston... No, thank you, Houston.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Fantasy Bust CallsBreece HallNew York JetsJan 2, 2026
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost
“Breeze Hall... even though Buffalo has been pretty generous to opposing runners, this is not the spot for it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost
“Drake London has been non well, non factor back to back weeks... going up against New Orleans top ten defense against opposing wideouts... So no thank you.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Terry McLaurin to fall short of his draft cost
“McLaurin nine point seven average, three efforts under ten in his last four games. No thank you.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost
“final Parker Washington... twenty three point five and fifteen in his last two opportunity as he develops a better chemistry with Trevor Lawrence.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsTyler ShoughNew Orleans SaintsJan 2, 2026
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost
“Tyler Shuck no stranger to this show... an opportunity here against Atlanta”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsBryce YoungCarolina PanthersJan 2, 2026
Bryce Young to outplay his draft cost
“Bryce Young going up against Tampa fifteen or better three of his last four”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Fantasy Bust CallsDJ MooreChicago BearsJan 2, 2026
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost
“DJ Moore going up against Detroit because it's boom or bust... So no thank you.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta FalconsJan 2, 2026
Kirk Cousins to outplay his draft cost
“Cousins going up against New Orleans again cautionary tale but potential here... back to back top twelve performances out of him.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago BearsJan 2, 2026
Caleb Williams to outplay his draft cost
“Where your hot plays for Week eighteen... Camleb Williams, who we've seen, he's tied for eighth overall last four games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsBo NixDenver BroncosJan 2, 2026
Bo Nix to outplay his draft cost
“bo Nick's going up against the Chargers. He's tied for eighth at nineteen fantasy points per game”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsMalik DavisDallas CowboysJan 2, 2026
Malik Davis to outplay his draft cost
“Malik Davis probably going to get a significant workload going up against the Giants.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.