Menu

Natalie Kerwin — Prediction Record | MissedTakes

Natalie Kerwin

Writes at Locked On Lions (podcast)

Every take from Natalie Kerwin, including the ones still waiting →

83.54%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

50

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

3

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 8 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

80% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 3

Natalie's Lions mock pick at No. 17 in the 2026 draft was Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano, with Penn State guard Olaivavega Ioane as her backup selection at that spot.2 graded calls · Apr 8, 2026
- Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
  “So backup pick, I would take the guard, Oliva Vega, Yoani... So he would be a guard for the for the lions.”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  skill:
  50
  player:
  Olaivavega Ioane
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  14
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
Kerwin predicted the Lions should and would address the interior offensive line with their pick at No. 17, naming the Penn State offensive lineman (Olaivavega Ioane) as the target.Feb 26, 2026
- Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
  “one that sticks out to me is the guy from Penn State... personally, I think they need to draft an interior alignment at that spot.”
  Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Olaivavega Ioane
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  87.81
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  14
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  87.81