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Todd Fritz

21.43%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-16.09

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

3

Graded calls

across 1 article. 2 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 3

Picked the Chiefs to beat the Eagles 29-26 in the Super Bowl with Patrick Mahomes winning MVP.3 graded calls · Feb 7, 2025
- “Cry Eagles Cry twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames”
  Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 62.56-48.28 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  22-40
  skill:
  -48.28
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  14.29
  baseline:
  62.56
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  naive home margin:
  2.28
  predicted margin:
  3
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Cry Eagles Cry twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames”
  Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  50
  champion:
  PHI
  runner up:
  KC
  naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  mvp
  naive:
  the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Patrick Mahomes
  season:
  2024
  winner:
  Josh Allen
  correct:
  false
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?