Eisen picked the Bills to finish with the NFL's best record, said the Dolphins look like a top-five draft pick team, chose the Chiefs over the Colts to make the playoffs despite their 0-2 start, and made week-three picks: Bengals to go 3-0, the Jets to win at Tampa, and he leaned Steelers over the Patriots.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 19, 2025

  Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

  “More likely, team that were surprised at their start to make the playoffs... The o and two Chiefs or the two and o Colts... I'll take the Chiefs.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  KC

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  1.89

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  false

  weeks left when called:

  16

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 19, 2025

  Cincinnati Bengals to win

  “Jake Browning, baby. And it's gonna start this weekend, and the Bengals are gonna be three and o.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  MIN

  score:

  10-48

  skill:

  -189

  they picked:

  CIN

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  MIN

  difficulty:

  1.89

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  16

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 19, 2025

  New York Jets to win

  “Oh, and two team more likely to score an upset road win, Saints or Jets? I'll take the Jets... And they could go down to Tampa and go get, you know, their their old coach... But I'll I'll go Jets.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  TB

  score:

  27-29

  skill:

  -189

  they picked:

  NYJ

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  TB

  difficulty:

  1.89

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  16

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersSep 19, 2025

  Pittsburgh Steelers to win

  “One and one Pittsburgh. At 1 And 1 New England... I'm leaning towards the Steelers.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PIT

  score:

  21-14

  skill:

  189

  they picked:

  PIT

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  NE

  difficulty:

  1.89

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  16

  Think this is wrong?

• Team Draft Slot CallsMiami DolphinsSep 19, 2025

  Miami Dolphins to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)

  “But the Dolphins look like a team picking in the top five.”

  Close · 74Scored 73.84a naive guess scored 70.71+5.92 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  MIA

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  they picked 13 the year before

  skill:

  5.92

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  73.84

  baseline:

  70.71

  actual pick:

  12

  difficulty:

  1.89

  weeks in the season:

  18

  predicted pick:

  picking in the top five (picks 1–5)

  weeks left when called:

  16

  Think this is wrong?

• Seeding, Byes and Home FieldBuffalo BillsSep 19, 2025

  Buffalo Bills to take the top seed

  “I'll go Bills finish with the NFL's best record because I pointed out in our number one... I think the Bills have an opportunity to have the best record in the NFL this year.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?