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Ryan Tracy · Mar 12, 2026

Ryan lays out his draft board and expectations for the edge and interior classes: Arbel Reese is his top edge ahead of David Bailey and Ruben Baine, all three likely gone before Kansas City's ninth pick (though he thinks Reese could slip to nine), with TJ Parker and Messador off the board before pick 40, Fano going early, Freeling around pick 29, and Caden McDonald his top defensive tackle.

Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain.

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →

11 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cade McDonald to be 1st defensive tackle off the board

    the interior and the defensive line, particularly Caden McDonald, who's my number one defensive tackle

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2026
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    position:
    defensive tackle
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    undrafted
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”

    He, Ruben Baine, David Bailey, very likely to be gone.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • T.J. Parker to be picked “drafted before No. 40”

    Now he and Messador are two guys that could be there, could be gone four picks before, or could be sitting there at 40. I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carnell Tate to be picked “likely gone before No. 9”

    I personally have come around on he being as good as a wide receiver prospect at this point, knowing that Tate is likely gone.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Monroe Freeling to be picked “right around this area (No. 29)”

    I do think that Freeling's probably gonna be right around this area.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • K.C. Concepcion to be picked “more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties”

    From from what I've seen, he's more of a forties, maybe into the high thirties. But 20 a little rich for me.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked “still available at No. 9”

    Is there a chance that somebody doesn't think that he's a top eight pick and they leave him there at nine... So I do think he is still in there

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Akheem Mesidor to be picked “drafted before No. 40”

    I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point, so 20 nine's gotta be the spot.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Top Player ListsMar 12, 2026

    Arbel Rees is my number one edge, followed by Bailey and Bain. All of them very, very tight because Reiss is such a projection.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be picked “very likely to be gone before No. 9”

    He, Ruben Baine, David Bailey, very likely to be gone.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked “go up top”

    I think Fano's gonna go up top.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.

Ryan Tracy on Edge Priority: Kansas City Chiefs’ Draft… | MissedTakes