“prediction on Arbel Reese, I'm gonna say four five two”DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · for 2025 · said Feb 27, 2026
“prediction on Arbel Reese, I'm gonna say four five two”
Close · 71Scored 71.46a naive guess scored 33.22+38.24 skill
How this was scored
- off:
- 0.06
- drill:
- forty time
- naive:
- the average EDGE (4.66, from 90 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 0.12 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
- skill:
- 38.24
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- result:
- 4.46
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 71.46
- baseline:
- 33.22
- predicted:
- 4.52
- sigmas out:
- 0.48
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
“He's probably gonna come in six four, two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 89.03+10.97 skill
How this was scored
- off:
- 0
- drill:
- height in
- naive:
- the average EDGE (75.79, from 149 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 1.28 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
- skill:
- 10.97
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- result:
- 76
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 89.03
- predicted:
- 76
“He's probably gonna come in six four, two hundred and forty, two hundred and forty five pounds.”
Hit · 94Scored 93.83a naive guess scored 41.65+52.18 skill
How this was scored
- off:
- 1
- drill:
- weight lbs
- naive:
- the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
- skill:
- 52.18
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- result:
- 241
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 93.83
- baseline:
- 41.65
- predicted:
“Round 1 (No. 2 overall): Arvell Reese, LB/EDGE, Ohio State”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.64 against a shuffle’s 50+44.64 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.64
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
“Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
“Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, I think the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top five; at lowest No. 7 (picks 1–5)
“Arvel Reese, who's an edge rusher from Ohio State ... the Jets edge, Arval Reese, Fields got him going there too.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 56.67 against a shuffle’s 50+6.67 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 6.67
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
“Now he had the same three picks at the top, Mendoza, Reese, and, the tackle from Miami, Mogoa.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
“the best player available on the board to me is Ohio State linebacker slash edge, whatever you wanna call him, R. Vell Reese. So that is the number two pick in this mock draft.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.71 against a shuffle’s 50+43.71 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.71
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
“I don't think that they would have jumped up to six to to take Bane... So I think it's it's gotta be Reese”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“So but, yeah, we'll gotta be edge rusher. It's gotta be edge rusher. They want Reese... I think it's gotta be Reese. If the Giants don't take him first, that that's my feeling.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
“And I have Dallas taking the big swing... Arvel Reese with the comps to Micah Parsons, they give up twelve and twenty to move up.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.37
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
“With the second pick... the New York Jets select. Arvell Reese, linebacker, Ohio State.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.87 against a shuffle’s 50+36.87 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.87
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
“number two overall, New York Jets. I think they're going edge Arvel Reese out of Ohio State here.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 90.26 against a shuffle’s 50+40.26 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40.26
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4KC Laboratory · for 2026 · said Apr 23, 2026
“With the fourth pick in this draft, the Tennessee titans take linebacker, future pass rusher, Arvel Reese, out of Ohio State.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.13 against a shuffle’s 50+44.13 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.13
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
“Dallas trading up to three. For Reese?”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 3
“And I believe it's the Kansas City Chiefs moving up from nine to take Arbel Reese here.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.86
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
“I'm going with Arvell Reese at three.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.71 against a shuffle’s 50+35.71 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 35.71
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 3
“Arbel Reese, two to the Jets.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 96.82 against a shuffle’s 50+46.82 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 46.82
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
“Number two, I'm not buying the David Bailey smoke... We're going Arvell Reese, the Ohio State linebacker slash edge.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 86.81 against a shuffle’s 50+36.81 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 36.81
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
“Okay. Three. I'm still gonna say Reese.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 80 against a shuffle’s 50+30 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 30
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 3
“the Arbel Reese move, which is who you have mocked to the Cardinals at three”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.57 against a shuffle’s 50+28.57 skill
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 28.57
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
“locked on Titans when Arbel Reese because he was still on the board at pick number four”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0