Rich Eisen · Oct 20, 2025
Eisen picked the Colts as the AFC's top seed, named Jonathan Taylor a top-three MVP finisher, said this season puts Matthew Stafford in the Hall of Fame, kept the NFC North as Detroit's division, and had Tampa Bay as the NFC South playoff team while allowing Carolina could reach 10 wins.
“This is the season that's putting Matthew Stafford in the Pro Football Hall of Fame.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsCarolina PanthersOct 20, 2025
Carolina Panthers to finish with 10 wins
“but I think I think the Panthers can I can get it? Panthers look good. Get to 10 wins.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-25.05 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- -25.05
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 20, 2025
New England Patriots to win
“Certainly, you you you should beat the crap out of Cleveland at home.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 13-32
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 20, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“you're you're not gonna get maybe more than one from the South, and it's gonna be the Bucks. So I think the Bucks are in”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Depth Chart CallsBrock PurdySan Francisco 49ersOct 20, 2025
Brock Purdy to be 1st on the depth chart
“When Brock Purdy is returning, but guess what's gonna happen? He's playing.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- SF
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Brock Purdy
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaMiami DolphinsOct 20, 2025
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
“No. No. No. No. No. Tua is the quarterback... So I I don't believe the Dolphins are gonna have a new quarterback week one next season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- MIA
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tua Tagovailoa
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis ColtsOct 20, 2025
Jonathan Taylor to win top three in MVP voting
“a running back is gonna be in the top three of MVP voting, if not top two. Mhmm. Jonathan Taylor is that guy.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldIndianapolis ColtsOct 20, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed
“I'll I'll say, that that this is not an overreaction because I think it's the Colts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersDetroit LionsOct 20, 2025
Detroit Lions to win the division
“As for the bears, this is still the lions division to lose as far as I'm concerned.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Matthew Stafford to make Pro Football Hall of Fame
“This is the season that's putting Matthew Stafford in the Pro Football Hall of Fame that after this season, there should be not a single naysayer on the planet in regards to his candidacy for enshrinement.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.