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JP Acosta · Mar 18, 2026

Acosta sorted all 32 teams into tiers for 2026: Seattle, the Rams and Denver as his Super Bowl favorites; New England, Detroit, Green Bay, Houston and Philadelphia as playoff teams; Jacksonville, Chicago and the Chargers as 'hipster' Super Bowl contenders; and Washington, New Orleans and Tennessee as turnaround candidates. He also predicted the Raiders take Fernando Mendoza first overall and that Minnesota could win 12 games with Kyler Murray.

They are the defending champions, Seattle Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams, and the Denver Broncos.

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

19 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    This is obviously operating on your assumption that the Raiders draft Fernando Mendoza with the first overall pick. That feels like a foregone conclusion at this point.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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  • Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    These are the playoff teams... the Detroit Lions

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    These are the playoff teams... the Green Bay Packers

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Houston Texans to make the playoffs

    These are the playoff teams... the Houston Texans

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    and the Philadelphia Eagles... this team is too talented to just say they're gonna miss the playoffs outright.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Jacksonville Jaguars to reach the Super Bowl

    These are the the hipster Super Bowl picks... And these are the Jacksonville Jaguars, Chicago Bears, and Los Angeles Chargers... if things break right, they could find themselves in the Super Bowl.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Power RankingsMar 18, 2026

    But I just think if I had to rank it, I would go Ravens, Bills, Chiefs because the Chiefs might not have Patrick Mahomes for the first quarter of the season.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Washington Commanders to beat expectations

    I think these are trendy turnaround candidates... I said the Washington Commanders, New Orleans Saints, and Tennessee Titans.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    Last tier, Super Bowl favorites here... They are the defending champions, Seattle Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams, and the Denver Broncos.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    Last tier, Super Bowl favorites here... the Los Angeles Rams

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl

    Last tier, Super Bowl favorites here... and the Denver Broncos. I was sort of debating on where to put the Broncos and then they traded for Jaylen Waddle.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins

    the one team that isn't in the in that tier, we said earlier is the Minnesota Vikings, who could win 12 games with Kyler Murray as their quarterback

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • JC Latham to be 1st on the depth chart

    I think he's sort of locked in this season as you're starting right tackle.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl

    These are the the hipster Super Bowl picks... Chicago Bears... if things break right, they could find themselves in the Super Bowl.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Chargers to reach the Super Bowl

    These are the the hipster Super Bowl picks... and Los Angeles Chargers... if things break right, they could find themselves in the Super Bowl.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • New Orleans Saints to beat expectations

    I think these are trendy turnaround candidates... New Orleans Saints... One thing breaks right and you are leading that division.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Tennessee Titans to beat expectations

    I think these are trendy turnaround candidates... and Tennessee Titans.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    These are the playoff teams. I think these teams are going to be in post season contention... And these are the New England Patriots, the Detroit Lions, the Green Bay Packers, the Houston Texans, and the Philadelphia Eagles.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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  • Power RankingsMar 18, 2026

    unfortunately, I have to put the chargers last... But between the Jaguars and the Bears, I actually sort of think I'm gonna lean towards the Jaguars

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

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JP Acosta on NFL Power Ranking Tiers Following Free… | MissedTakes