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Tom Pelissero · Mar 2, 2026

Pelissero expects the Raiders to draft Fernando Mendoza first overall, and says Kirk Cousins will be released March 11 while Tua Tagovailoa will be released before March 13 if Miami can't trade him.

Well, they're drafting Fernando Mendoza, we think, at number one overall.

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    we we've kinda talked about the Raiders within this lens of, well, they're drafting Fernando Mendoza, we think, at number one overall

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kirk Cousins to move

    besides Kirk Cousins who we know based on his contract is gonna be released on March 11

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tua Tagovailoa to move to Miami Dolphins

    All signs are pointing to Tua, becoming available. If they can't trade him ... he would be released, I presume, prior to, March 13

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.