Pat Gustavson · Feb 24, 2026

Gustafson predicted AJ Brown leaves Philadelphia (favoring the Raiders as a fit), assigned free agents to landing spots (Kenneth Walker to Jacksonville, Rashid Shaheed to the Raiders, Juwan Jennings to the Chargers, Isaiah Likely to the Titans, Christian Kirk to the Dolphins), and named his Week 1 quarterbacks including Deshaun Watson for Cleveland and Mac Jones to the Vikings.

“I think it's gonna be Deshaun Watson.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →

19 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Depth Chart Calls Malik Willis Miami DolphinsFeb 24, 2026
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“So you I figured that Malik Willis would be, like, kind of a shoe in here with his relationship with Halfley and the Packers. So he's my pick.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
-8.33
player:
Malik Willis
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls C.J. Stroud Houston TexansFeb 24, 2026
C.J. Stroud to be 1st on the depth chart
“Texans, do you see any change for the Texans? No.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
0
player:
C.J. Stroud
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Daniel Jones Indianapolis ColtsFeb 24, 2026
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“So at the end, I'm picking Daniel Jones.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
0
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Mac Jones Minnesota VikingsFeb 24, 2026
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think the the Vikings may overwhelm them... I think they're not gonna be able to resist trading their backup quarterback.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
SF
skill:
-8.33
player:
Mac Jones
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Tua Tagovailoa Arizona CardinalsFeb 24, 2026
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
“if that's where Tua is gonna wind up, I think it would be Arizona... I'll I'll go two of there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
MIA
skill:
0
player:
Tua Tagovailoa
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Kyler Murray New York JetsFeb 24, 2026
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“That was my choice as well... I'll I'll I'll go Kyler there.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
ARI
skill:
0
player:
Kyler Murray
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Ty SimpsonFeb 24, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked “the last 10 picks of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“I think he's the kind of guy that a team will jump in the last 10 picks of the first round and take perhaps the Jets.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
the last 10 picks of the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls TreVeyon Henderson New England PatriotsFeb 24, 2026
TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart
“I'm pretty sure Trevion is ranked higher than Ramondre. Oh, I believe he should be.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
8.33
player:
TreVeyon Henderson
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Aaron Rodgers Pittsburgh SteelersFeb 24, 2026
Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think they kind of hold firm and hang on to Rodgers one more time.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
0
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Mac Jones Minnesota VikingsFeb 24, 2026
Mac Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings
“I think that even if the 40 say they're not gonna trade Mac Jones, I think the the Vikings may overwhelm them.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta FalconsFeb 24, 2026
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“I see no reason why they don't move forward with him.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Deshaun Watson Cleveland BrownsFeb 24, 2026
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think it's gonna be I think it's gonna be Deshaun Watson.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Rashid Shaheed Las Vegas RaidersFeb 24, 2026
Rashid Shaheed to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“I think Rashid Shahid is gonna follow, Clint Kubiak and go to Las Vegas.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Kenneth Walker IIIFeb 24, 2026
Kenneth Walker III to move
“Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker will not be franchise tags, apparently. And I believe he's gonna go be a Jacksonville Jaguar.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Fernando Mendoza Las Vegas RaidersFeb 24, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
“It's it's our sweet glorious King Fernando. No question about it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Jauan Jennings Los Angeles ChargersFeb 24, 2026
Jauan Jennings to move to Los Angeles Chargers
“Let's bring him and reunite him with his old offensive coordinator, Mike McDaniel, on the Los Angeles Chargers.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Isaiah Likely Tennessee TitansFeb 24, 2026
Isaiah Likely to move to Tennessee Titans
“How about we go with the team with the most cap space, the Tennessee Titans, and have them turn Isaiah Likely into a full blown tight end one here?”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Christian Kirk Miami DolphinsFeb 24, 2026
Christian Kirk to move to Miami Dolphins
“Christian Kirk to the Miami Dolphins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls A.J. BrownFeb 24, 2026
A.J. Brown to move
“Pat, do you expect AJ Brown back with the Eagles next year? Nope.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?