The 33rd Team · Mar 13, 2023
An unsigned ranking of the top 150 available players in 2023 NFL free agency, with brief scouting notes that include a few forecasts about where players would land and what roles they would fill.
“Here's a look at the best players available on the open market.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived Apr 22, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
16 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Top Player ListsMar 13, 2023
“Here's a look at the best players available on the open market. 1. Jessie Bates, S ... 150. Evan Brown, IOL”
Scored 55.47a naive guess scored 50+10.95 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 10.95
- placed:
- 130
- season:
- 2023
- players:
- 150
- accuracy:
- 55.47
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- FS 2: 0, OT 7: 57.14, SAF 9: 23.33, QB 6: 45.71, CB 12: 58.39, OLB 7: 64.29, WR 12: 76.22, DB 3: 0, TE 8: 86.9, MLB 7: 67.86, RB 12: 61.89, G 8: 40.48, S 4: 90, DT 8: 55.95, LB 7: 51.79, DE 11: 45.45, C 4: 70, ILB 3: 25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsMar 13, 2023
“he probably will sign with another team as a second- or third-string back”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BUF
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Damien Harris
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsMar 13, 2023
“Singletary likely is headed to a new team in a backup role.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- HOU
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Devin Singletary
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsMar 13, 2023
“Fournette is likely headed to a new team in a backup role.”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 66.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BUF
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Leonard Fournette
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“We expect him to sign somewhere else because the Buccaneers have cap issues”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“The Patriots are unlikely to pay him what he is looking for, and he will find a new team that needs a dependable cornerback.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“Given the Buccaneers' roster construction, David likely will go to a contender to ring chase.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Depth Chart CallsMar 13, 2023
“would make a solid No. 2 or No. 3 corner on many teams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Depth Chart CallsMar 13, 2023
“Adderley is ready to take the next step and become a full-time starter.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“Edwards likely will get priced out by Philly's cap situation and will be a top undervalued player in free agency.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Positional FinishesMar 13, 2023
“he could still perform as a top-10 tackle in the right system”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“given the new weapons in Kansas City, it looks like he will find somewhere else to call home”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“he probably will sign with another team as a second- or third-string back”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“Expect Atlanta to sign him quickly at top dollar.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“He will find a new team that wants to utilize his unique skillset more than Miami did this past season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsMar 13, 2023
“Singletary likely is headed to a new team in a backup role.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.