The 33rd Team
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
85.71% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 10
“Fournette is likely headed to a new team in a backup role.”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 66.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BUF
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Leonard Fournette
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Singletary likely is headed to a new team in a backup role.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- HOU
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Devin Singletary
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Here's a look at the best players available on the open market. 1. Jessie Bates, S ... 150. Evan Brown, IOL”
Scored 55.47a naive guess scored 50+10.95 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 10.95
- placed:
- 130
- season:
- 2023
- players:
- 150
- accuracy:
- 55.47
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- FS 2: 0, OT 7: 57.14, SAF 9: 23.33, QB 6: 45.71, CB 12: 58.39, OLB 7: 64.29, WR 12: 76.22, DB 3: 0, TE 8: 86.9, MLB 7: 67.86, RB 12: 61.89, G 8: 40.48, S 4: 90, DT 8: 55.95, LB 7: 51.79, DE 11: 45.45, C 4: 70, ILB 3: 25
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“he probably will sign with another team as a second- or third-string back”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BUF
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Damien Harris
- season:
- 2023
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Top 150 Free Agents — 1. Lamar Jackson, QB ... 150. Sam Darnold, QB”
Scored 59.62a naive guess scored 50+9.62 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 9.62
- placed:
- 146
- season:
- 2022
- players:
- 150
- accuracy:
- 59.62
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 12: 87.41, RB 14: 87.47, FS 4: 60, OT 8: 51.19, SAF 10: 34.55, NT 2: 100, CB 12: 32.52, OLB 6: 51.43, C 4: 60, WR 10: 92.12, DB 4: 70, TE 10: 80.61, MLB 5: 20, G 9: 22.5, S 5: 20, LB 7: 73.21, DT 8: 61.9, DE 14: 62.86, ILB 2: 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Parris Campbell is a dependable WR2/WR3.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 75+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Parris Campbell
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 5
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Singletary likely is headed to a new team in a backup role.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BUF
- skill:
- -8.33
- player:
- Devin Singletary
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“He's a good low-budget WR3 to add depth to a team's roster”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- JAX
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Marvin Jones
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“he probably will sign with another team as a second- or third-string back”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Damien Harris
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“For the current wide receiver market, Smith-Schuster could be an affordable high-end WR2.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 66.67+25 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- KC
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- JuJu Smith-Schuster
- season:
- 2022
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 5
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0