Chris Brockman · Mar 2, 2026

Brockman offered a series of overreaction-Monday takes: four Ohio State players going top-10, Fernando Mendoza outproducing Tom Brady's 2001 rookie stats, Jeremiah Love outperforming Ashton Jeanty's rookie year, two tight ends going in the top 20, Ty Simpson as QB2 and a week-one starter, Jimmy Garoppolo lifting the Cardinals over .500, and Mike Evans advancing further in the playoffs than Tampa Bay.

“Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

15 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Sonny StylesMar 2, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Fernando MendozaMar 2, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
“We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
skill:
66.92
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
33.08
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Caleb DownsMar 2, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Carnell TateMar 2, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Ty SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Ty SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Kenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Eli StowersMar 2, 2026
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Miss · 23Scored 22.93a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Eli Stowers
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
22.93
baseline:
50
actual pick:
54
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
22.93
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Arvell ReeseMar 2, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvel Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Mike Evans Buffalo BillsMar 2, 2026
Mike Evans to record 15 receiving tds
“Mike Evans with with Josh Allen would be great. It'd be, like, 15 touchdowns. Book it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Arizona CardinalsMar 2, 2026
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 9 wins
“the handsome man, Jimmy g. He's gonna have the cardinals over 500 next year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Ty SimpsonMar 2, 2026
Ty Simpson to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Mike EvansMar 2, 2026
Mike Evans to move
“one of the big names out there is Mike Evans. Doesn't seem like he's gonna be back in Tampa... He's gonna go to a contender.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Fernando Mendoza Las Vegas RaidersMar 2, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to record 18 passing tds
“Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001... 18 touchdowns”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Fernando Mendoza Las Vegas RaidersMar 2, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to record 2,900 passing yards
“Fernando Mendoza is gonna have a better statistical rookie season than Tom Brady's 02/2001, his first year starter. That's 64% of completions, 2,900 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, 12 picks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?