Rich Eisen · Feb 27, 2026

Eisen expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and predicts four Ohio State players — Cornell Tate, Caleb Downs, Sonny Styles and Arvel Reese — will be selected inside the top 10.

“That there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Arvell ReeseFeb 27, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... And Reese.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Caleb DownsFeb 27, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... Downs could go.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Sonny StylesFeb 27, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Styles goes... We love his top 10. Right? Like, there's no question he he doesn't come out of the top 10.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Carnell TateFeb 27, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“there's gonna be four Buckeyes in the top 10... that Tate could go.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Fernando MendozaFeb 27, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“The first overall pick in the draft was at the podium this morning. Correct? Alright. So Fernando Mendoza will check the box.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?