Andrew Erickson

Andrew Erickson is a fantasy football analyst at FantasyPros, where he writes about draft strategy, sleepers, and players to avoid. His work focuses on identifying value across fantasy rosters — from late-round targets to consensus busts — and he appears on The Herd with Colin Cowherd podcast. He covers a range of NFL teams and players, with particular attention to skill position players like Chase Brown, Drake London, and Tee Higgins.

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Andrew Erickson, including the ones still waiting →

Is Andrew Erickson accurate? Across 143 graded calls in 18 articles, Andrew Erickson scores 57.03% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 22.08, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

57.03%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

22.08

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

143

Graded calls

across 18 articles. 367 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

99.37% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 143

3 of 18 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 4 of 4.

Erickson predicted Drake London finishes as the overall fantasy WR1, Drake Maye as a top-five fantasy quarterback, Tucker Kraft as a top-four fantasy tight end, Jordan Mason leading the NFL in rushing touchdowns (at worst double digits), and Elijah Moore finishing as a fantasy WR1 for the Bills.6 graded calls · Aug 2, 2025
- Jordan Mason to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing tds
  “Jordan Mason, new running back for the Minnesota skull Vikings. I think he's gonna lead the NFL in Russian touchdowns this year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jordan Mason
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  RB
  ranked by:

Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.10 graded calls · May 31, 2025

Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
“if we're trying to figure out who could be this year's JK. Dobbins, I think Javonte Williams checks off a lot of boxes... consider me in at RB thirty seven”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB thirty seven
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Javonte Williams
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB32
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB11
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Think this grade is wrong?
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost
“because I'm also lower on Kaen wins for the reason I feel like it's groundhog Day”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Kyren Williams
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB8
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost
“The guy I want to talk about who I also have in a tier above is Chase Brown... that's the guy I am circling as the person that I want to get”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Chase Brown
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB10
weeks left when called:
18
Trey Benson to outplay his draft cost
“I love Trey Benson as the second you're running back to buy because I think you could have a bigger role, especially if James Connor gets banged up”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Trey Benson
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB66
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB79
weeks left when called:
18
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)
“My Lock. In every single fifth round, Richard Smith is my RB fifty”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
fifth round
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
-200
player:
Brashard Smith
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
cost round:
5
had to beat:
RB20
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB70
weeks left when called:
Tank Bigsby to fall short of his draft cost
“Tank Bigsby is someone that I continuously fade. I think I might just do the same thing again and just fade bikes me year three”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Tank Bigsby
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB31
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB60
weeks left when called:
18
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)
“So I think Braylen Allen's kind of interesting and just another guy I mentioned”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
outside the top fifty
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Braelon Allen
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB51
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB94
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Ray Davis to outplay his draft cost
“But Ray Davis did flash when he had his opportunities last year, and I think that should go unnoticed. So yeah, give me the young guys”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Ray Davis
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB35
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB59
weeks left when called:
18
Tyrone Tracy Jr. to fall short of his draft cost
“So that's my concern about Tyrone Tracy. So I think that he is overvalued”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB26
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB31
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Will Shipley to outplay his draft cost
“for right now, I'm in the will Shipley uh Will Shipley bandwagon. So he's another sleeper. I wanted highlight”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Will Shipley
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB99
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB97
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:

Erickson laid out his personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom he sees finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison.18 graded calls · May 17, 2025

Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“False because he finishes a top three running back.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 25-50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-50
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
25
position:
RB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
no prior season — the startable tier at RB
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
24
actual finish:
15
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake London to record 15 receiving tds
“I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 77.12-154.24 skill
How this was scored
naive:
6.2
skill:
-154.24
what happened:
7
player:
Drake London
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
77.12
predicted:
15
statistic:
receiving_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
9
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
3.4
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
“I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]”
Close · 71Scored 71.11a naive guess scored 50+42.22 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
42.22
placed:
9
season:
2025
players:
10
accuracy:
71.11
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 5: 80, WR 4: 60
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Drake London to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.67
player:
Drake London
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
8.33
position:
WR
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
6
actual finish:
17
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
3
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)
“I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
the second round
naive:
the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
skill:
200
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
cost round:
2
had to beat:
RB6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB2
DeVonta Smith to fall short of his draft cost (ECR fifty one)
“You have DeVante Smith versus ECR. He's at fifty two. You've got him in the mid seventies... I just don't think DeVante Smith has that ceiling unless someone gets hurt”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR fifty one
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
DeVonta Smith
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR28
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR25
weeks left when called:
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)
“So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
CeeDee Lamb
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR23
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
“There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
round four
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Rashee Rice
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR97
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR41
weeks left when called:
18
Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)
“I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR number two, the number one running back
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Saquon Barkley
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB1
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB13
weeks left when called:
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
“So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR thirty six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Garrett Wilson
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR16
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR64
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Jordan Addison to fall short of his draft cost
“So I'm gonna move Hawkinson down and I'm probably out on Jordan Adison too.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
none named
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Jordan Addison
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR18
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR43
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
“I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
one twenty
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Jordan Mason
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB33
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB33
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
“there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR thirty
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Tyreek Hill
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR23
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR107
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
“to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
the start of round three, end of round two
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Chase Brown
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB10
weeks left when called:
18
Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYJ
skill:
0
player:
Garrett Wilson
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
“So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR ten
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
200
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB24
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB15
weeks left when called:
18
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)
“So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
ECR fifty four
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Xavier Worthy
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR32
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR59
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
“I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
bust
cost:
ECR thirty nine
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
DJ Moore
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR22
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR27
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:

Andrew Erickson Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 4 | MissedTakes