Andrew Erickson · May 17, 2025
Erickson laid out his personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom he sees finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison.
“False because he finishes a top three running back.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
18 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsGarrett WilsonNew York JetsMay 17, 2025
“It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYJ
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Player Season NumbersDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 17, 2025
“I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 77.12-154.24 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 6.2
- skill:
- -154.24
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 77.12
- predicted:
- 15
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 9
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- the second round
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Christian McCaffrey
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 2
- had to beat:
- RB5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Fantasy RankingsMay 17, 2025
“I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]”
Scored 71.11a naive guess scored 50+42.22 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 42.22
- placed:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 71.11
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 5: 80, WR 4: 60
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“False because he finishes a top three running back.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 25-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 25
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- no prior season — the startable tier at RB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 17, 2025
“I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
“So I'm gonna move Hawkinson down and I'm probably out on Jordan Adison too.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Fantasy Bust CallsRashee RiceKansas City ChiefsMay 17, 2025
“There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsAshton JeantyLas Vegas RaidersMay 17, 2025
“So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsJordan MasonMinnesota VikingsMay 17, 2025
“I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsGarrett WilsonNew York JetsMay 17, 2025
“So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsXavier WorthyKansas City ChiefsMay 17, 2025
“So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Fantasy Bust CallsTyreek HillMiami DolphinsMay 17, 2025
“there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsCeeDee LambDallas CowboysMay 17, 2025
“So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
“You have DeVante Smith versus ECR. He's at fifty two. You've got him in the mid seventies... I just don't think DeVante Smith has that ceiling unless someone gets hurt”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsChase BrownCincinnati BengalsMay 17, 2025
“to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
“I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Fantasy Bust CallsDJ MooreChicago BearsMay 17, 2025
“I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.