Chad Ochocinco Johnson Predictions: Record and Accuracy | MissedTakes

Chad Ochocinco Johnson

Chad Ochocinco Johnson played wide receiver in the NFL for eleven seasons, most of them with the Cincinnati Bengals, who drafted him in the second round of the 2001 draft. He played college football at Santa Monica and Oregon State, earned six Pro Bowl selections and three All-Pro nods, and holds nearly every Bengals receiving record. In 2011 he was traded to New England and played in Super Bowl XLVI. After brief stints with Miami, the Montreal Alouettes, and a Mexican league team, Johnson transitioned to media. He now co-hosts the Nightcap podcast and appears on Fox Sports, where he weighs in on everything from quarterback competitions to surprise-team picks. His predictions here cover player movement, game outcomes, and the occasional top-ten list — with a clear affection for the Bengals and a willingness to take positions on names like Deshaun Watson, Shedeur Sanders, and George Pickens.

Writes at Nightcap (podcast)

Every take from Chad Ochocinco Johnson, including the ones still waiting →

Is Chad Ochocinco Johnson accurate? Across 35 graded calls in 21 articles, Chad Ochocinco Johnson scores 37.89% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -13.24, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

37.89%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-13.24

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 21 articles. 42 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

95.45% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Game Outcome Picks9 graded62.5 accuracy
Trade and Signing Calls7 graded25 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Chad Ochocinco Johnson keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Joe Burrow+100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · when they strayed: 42.5 accuracy (2 settled)

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 39 ┄latest form: 45

Graded calls · 35

20 of 21 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 2.

Ochocinco predicted the Bengals would score about 42 points and overwhelm Tampa Bay, and said not to be surprised if Odell posts over 100 receiving yards and a touchdown while filling the void left by Malik Nabers' absence.2 graded calls · Sep 11, 2026
- Cincinnati Bengals 42 — Tampa ?
  “And Bango going to put up about 42 points. I'm telling you that.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 84.44+31.11 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  27-33
  skill:
  31.11
  they picked:
  CIN
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  84.44
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:

Chad predicts the Bengals will beat the Steelers again this season, says Cincinnati will start the year 5-0, and forecasts that Joe Flacco opens as Cleveland's starter before Shedeur Sanders takes over. He also puts Jerry Jeudy at 1,500 receiving yards.4 graded calls · Jul 15, 2025

Cincinnati Bengals to win
“When the Steelers play the Bengals, we know what's gonna happen. They still gonna get this work... We beat the Steelers. Okay, I'm just letting you know we're gonna beat them again”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
31-33
skill:
0
they picked:
CIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jerry Jeudy to record 1,500 receiving yards
“Jerry Judy going for eighteen hundred this year... Okay, okay, fifteen hundred, fifteen hundred, Jerry going for fifteen hundred”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 52.53-105.06 skill
How this was scored
naive:
789.37
skill:
-105.06
what happened:
602
player:
Jerry Jeudy
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
52.53
predicted:
1500
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1229
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
349.73
zero at percent out:
50
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“we know Shador Sanders is going to be the one to step in the helm and run the show once things don't work out with Joe Flacco... then it's gonna be the Shadoor Sanders Show.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
16.67
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
“You know, Joe Flaco starting unless he gets injured in training camp or something like that... Now the job is Joe Flacco's to lose.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18