Chad Ochocinco Johnson· Nov 19, 2025
Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season.
“Who are the two teams I told you to watch out for before the season started when I talked to you in August. The Bears and the Panthers.”
said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 2 surprise team calls, 1 player season number, 1 positional finishe and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 26.4 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Trade and Signing CallsKyler MurrayNov 19, 2025
Kyler Murray to move
“if they do part ways with him, I'm sure Kyler Murray will be somewhere else. Next year for sure.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-139 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -139
- player:
- Kyler Murray
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- ARI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- ARI
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Christian Gonzalez to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions
“he needs to be in the conversation of top five dbs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Christian Gonzalez
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- secondary
- ranked by:
- interceptions
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 71
- actual finish:
- 343
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- predicted finish:
- 5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to record 2,000 receiving yards
“he just going head huper crazy, dude gonna get two thousand”
Close · 79Scored 79.3a naive guess scored 0+110.23 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 739.87
- skill:
- 110.23
- what happened:
- 1793
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 79.3
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 2000
- statistic:
- receiving_yards
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- last season:
- 1130
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- position average:
- 349.73
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Surprise Team CallsChicago BearsNov 19, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat expectations
“Who are the two teams I told you to watch out for before the season started... The Bears and the Panthers.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Surprise Team CallsCarolina PanthersNov 19, 2025
Carolina Panthers to beat expectations
“Who are the two teams I told you to watch out for before the season started... The Bears and the Panthers.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Expects the Falcons to fall to 0-2 in Cooper Rush starts, losing 24-13 to Carolina.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Garrett ChapmanScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 50Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.
- Jerry JonesScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Predicts Carolina pulls away from Atlanta, with the Falcons defense keeping it close early, in a 27-16 Panthers win.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
More surprise team calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Carter BahnsSurprise Team Calls · Cincinnati BengalsPendingBahns named the Bengals a dark-horse Super Bowl contender on the strength of their retooled defense.
- John BreechSurprise Team Calls · New Orleans SaintsPendingBreech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from his hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and he picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. He also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season.
- Ralph VacchianoSurprise Team Calls · New Orleans SaintsPendingVacchiano says the Saints, whom he had already called the NFC's biggest surprise of the season, are good enough to win the weak NFC South, though not yet a championship contender.
- Gilberto ManzanoSurprise Team Calls · Las Vegas RaidersPendingManzano calls the 2-0 Raiders under first-time head coach Klint Kubiak one of the season's biggest surprise teams and a club now thinking playoffs, sees the 2-0 49ers headed for another winning season, and views New Orleans as the class of the NFC South with Tyler Shough playing well.
- John BreechSurprise Team Calls · New Orleans SaintsPendingGrading Week 2, Breech says the Saints — fresh off upsetting the Ravens in Baltimore — look like a club that could beat expectations this season.
- Nick WrightSurprise Team Calls · Atlanta FalconsPendingWright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense.