Charles Davis Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded | MissedTakes

Charles Davis

Every take from Charles Davis, including the ones still waiting →

Is Charles Davis accurate? Across 22 graded calls in 6 articles, Charles Davis scores 70.95% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 43.22, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

70.95%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

43.22

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 6 articles.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Mock Draft Picks13 graded84.07 accuracy
Award Picks6 graded33.33 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Charles Davis keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Ty Simpson+100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · when they strayed: 64.8 accuracy (2 settled)

Graded calls · 22

Charles Davis endorsed several of Jeremiah's picks, notably arguing RVL Reese would be the No. 3 overall pick, and predicted Justin Herbert would have a big year with an improved interior line.Apr 23, 2026
- Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
  “That's why RVL. Reese is going to go number three, not just simply to play off the ball.”
  Hit · 92Scored 91.7a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Arvell Reese
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  91.7
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  5
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18

In his mock draft 3.0, discussed on the show, Davis has Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders and seven other offensive skill players in the first round, including Ty Simpson at No. 3 and Kenyon Sadiq at No. 11.8 graded calls · Apr 1, 2026

Ty Simpson to be picked at number 3
“At number three, though, Florio Charles Davis goes to Ty Simpson to the Arizona Cardinals”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this grade is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8
“at the number eight spot, Charles Davis has these Saints taking Jordan Tyson”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11
“At number eleven. According to Charles Davis, the Dolphins taking Kenyon Sadiq”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
“the next step on the list at number thirteen, Your boy, it's kaya limit to the Panthers”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 21
“last one twenty one, the Steelers taking Omar Cooper Junior”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Number One Fernando Mendoza going to the Raiders shocking”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5
“up next at number five, Je're my Love going to the Giants”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“At number six, Charles has the Browns taking Carnal tape”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86

Davis calls Mendoza a near no-brainer at No. 1 and the only first-round quarterback, projects Arbel Reese as the likely No. 2 overall pick with Sonny Styles as a top-10 selection, and says Ty Simpson will be the second quarterback drafted.4 graded calls · Feb 26, 2026

Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“I think he's gonna be the number two quarterback taken.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“I hate using the term no brainer... He's the quarterback that has proven himself to be that guy... As far as I'm concerned, there's one quarterback in the first round, and it's him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Who's two on your board? ... Probably Arbel Reese, the kid out of Ohio State.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“For me, it's Reese, but then Styles ... is also in that discussion. ... Be a top 10 kid.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:

Davis picked Patrick Mahomes MVP, Josh Allen OPOY, Nick Bosa DPOY, George Pickens OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Robert Woods Comeback Player and Andy Reid Coach of the Year.7 graded calls · Sep 6, 2022

Josh Allen to win Offensive Player of the Year
“2. Bills QB Josh Allen (4 votes: Davis, Koetter, Martz, Zimmer)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2022
winner:
Justin Jefferson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Robert Woods to win Comeback Player of the Year
“Titans WR Robert Woods (1 vote: Davis)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Robert Woods
season:
2022
winner:
Geno Smith
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Patrick Mahomes to win Most Valuable Player
“T2. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (3 votes: Charles Davis, Marty Mornhinweg, Wade Phillips)”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
skill:
200
player:
Patrick Mahomes
season:
2022
winner:
Patrick Mahomes
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year
“T2. 49ers edge rusher Nick Bosa (3 votes: Davis, Jennings, Wannstedt)”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
skill:
200
player:
Nick Bosa
season:
2022
winner:
Nick Bosa
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“T2. Steelers WR George Pickens (3 votes: Barber, Davis, Jennings)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
George Pickens
season:
2022
winner:
Garrett Wilson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Andy Reid to win Coach of the Year
“T3. Chiefs coach Andy Reid (2 votes: Davis, Mornhinweg)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Andy Reid
naive:
the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2022
winner:
Brian Daboll
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“1. Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (10 votes: Cassel, Davis, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aidan Hutchinson
season:
2022
winner:
Sauce Gardner
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?