Charles Davis · Feb 26, 2026

Davis calls Mendoza a near no-brainer at No. 1 and the only first-round quarterback, projects Arbel Reese as the likely No. 2 overall pick with Sonny Styles as a top-10 selection, and says Ty Simpson will be the second quarterback drafted.

“As far as I'm concerned, there's one quarterback in the first round, and it's him.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Fernando Mendoza Las Vegas RaidersFeb 26, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“I hate using the term no brainer... He's the quarterback that has proven himself to be that guy... As far as I'm concerned, there's one quarterback in the first round, and it's him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Sonny StylesFeb 26, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“For me, it's Reese, but then Styles ... is also in that discussion. ... Be a top 10 kid.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Arvell ReeseFeb 26, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Who's two on your board? ... Probably Arbel Reese, the kid out of Ohio State.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Ty SimpsonFeb 26, 2026
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“I think he's gonna be the number two quarterback taken.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?