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Craig Horlbeck Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Leaderboard / Craig Horlbeck

Craig Horlbeck

Writes at Around the NFL (podcast)

Every take from Craig Horlbeck, including the ones still waiting →

Is Craig Horlbeck accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Craig Horlbeck scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 183, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

100%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

183

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Horlbeck takes the Bears plus a point against the Raiders in Las Vegas, believing Caleb Williams builds on his Dallas performance against a Raiders team that can't run the ball and turns it over.Sep 26, 2025
- Chicago Bears to beat Raiders
  “I'm taking the Bears plus one against the Raiders... I do think what I saw last week against Dallas is replicable against Vegas.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  CHI
  score:
  25-24
  skill:
  183
  they picked:
  CHI
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  LV
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

weeks left when called:

Think this grade is wrong?