Horlbeck takes the Bears plus a point against the Raiders in Las Vegas, believing Caleb Williams builds on his Dallas performance against a Raiders team that can't run the ball and turns it over.

1 checkable claim from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksSep 26, 2025

  “I'm taking the Bears plus one against the Raiders... I do think what I saw last week against Dallas is replicable against Vegas.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  CHI

  score:

  25-24

  skill:

  183

  they picked:

  CHI

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  LV

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

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