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Dan Beyer

47.62%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-0.07

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

1

Graded calls

across 1 article. 1 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Dan Bayer liked the Broncos to beat the Patriots straight up 19-17 in a low-scoring game, refused to pick the Seahawks-Rams game, and joined the room in picking the Falcons for the most wins next season.Jan 24, 2026
- “I like the Broncos in this one to win straight up, though, and I like the lower scoring affair... Nineteen seventeen Broncos beat the Patriots.”
  Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 47.69-0.07 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  10-7
  skill:
  -0.07
  they picked:
  DEN
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  47.62
  baseline:
  47.69
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  0
  naive home margin:
  2.03
  predicted margin:
  2
  Think this grade is wrong?