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Dan Beyer · Jan 24, 2026

Dan Bayer liked the Broncos to beat the Patriots straight up 19-17 in a low-scoring game, refused to pick the Seahawks-Rams game, and joined the room in picking the Falcons for the most wins next season.

Nineteen seventeen Broncos beat the Patriots.

said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • I like the Broncos in this one to win straight up, though, and I like the lower scoring affair... Nineteen seventeen Broncos beat the Patriots.

    Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 47.69-0.07 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    -0.07
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • if all six of us in studio happened to match, it's an automatic point for Brian... Brian Covino saved your life.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.